Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate the overnight minimum on September 21 will stabilize near 27°C, supported by light easterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This aligns with late-September subtropical patterns where dew points remain elevated around 24-25°C, preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus at 90.5% for 27°C reflects alignment across ensemble runs and recent observations showing similar nightly floors. Stronger-than-expected convective cooling from thunderstorms or an unanticipated wind shift could push readings to 25-26°C, though current steering patterns make that unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於九月二十一日香港最低氣溫？
九月二十一日香港最低氣溫？
27°C 91%
25°C 4%
22°C或以下 2%
24°C 2%
$12,915 交易量
$12,915 交易量
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
91%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 91%
25°C 4%
22°C或以下 2%
24°C 2%
$12,915 交易量
$12,915 交易量
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
$37 交易量
2%
23°C
$531 交易量
<1%
24°C
$234 交易量
2%
25°C
$560 交易量
4%
26°C
$1,348 交易量
2%
27°C
$3,484 交易量
91%
28°C
$4,427 交易量
<1%
29°C
$82 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,104 交易量
1%
31°C
$1,104 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$4 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate the overnight minimum on September 21 will stabilize near 27°C, supported by light easterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This aligns with late-September subtropical patterns where dew points remain elevated around 24-25°C, preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus at 90.5% for 27°C reflects alignment across ensemble runs and recent observations showing similar nightly floors. Stronger-than-expected convective cooling from thunderstorms or an unanticipated wind shift could push readings to 25-26°C, though current steering patterns make that unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,915結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate the overnight minimum on September 21 will stabilize near 27°C, supported by light easterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This aligns with late-September subtropical patterns where dew points remain elevated around 24-25°C, preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus at 90.5% for 27°C reflects alignment across ensemble runs and recent observations showing similar nightly floors. Stronger-than-expected convective cooling from thunderstorms or an unanticipated wind shift could push readings to 25-26°C, though current steering patterns make that unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$12,915結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate the overnight minimum on September 21 will stabilize near 27°C, supported by light easterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This aligns with late-September subtropical patterns where dew points remain elevated around 24-25°C, preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus at 90.5% for 27°C reflects alignment across ensemble runs and recent observations showing similar nightly floors. Stronger-than-expected convective cooling from thunderstorms or an unanticipated wind shift could push readings to 25-26°C, though current steering patterns make that unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions