Current forecasts for Wellington on September 21 place the daily high near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C. This reflects MetService and international model consensus showing mild spring conditions slightly above the long-term September average high of roughly 14°C, with limited potential for stronger warming due to the season's typical wind patterns and lack of blocking highs. Traders appear to view 16°C as plausible only if daytime heating exceeds expectations, while probabilities for 17°C or higher remain negligible given the absence of anomalous warm advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9月21日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
15°C 56%
16°C 42%
17°C 2%
18°C 1.1%
最新
$26,819 交易量
最新
$26,819 交易量
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
56%
16°C
42%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
15°C 56%
16°C 42%
17°C 2%
18°C 1.1%
最新
$26,819 交易量
最新
$26,819 交易量
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
$1,337 交易量
<1%
11°C
$987 交易量
<1%
12°C
$705 交易量
<1%
13°C
$2,193 交易量
<1%
14°C
$5,741 交易量
<1%
15°C
$7,067 交易量
56%
16°C
$3,920 交易量
42%
17°C
$3,139 交易量
2%
18°C
$931 交易量
1%
19°C
$338 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$462 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Wellington on September 21 place the daily high near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C. This reflects MetService and international model consensus showing mild spring conditions slightly above the long-term September average high of roughly 14°C, with limited potential for stronger warming due to the season's typical wind patterns and lack of blocking highs. Traders appear to view 16°C as plausible only if daytime heating exceeds expectations, while probabilities for 17°C or higher remain negligible given the absence of anomalous warm advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$26,819結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Wellington on September 21 place the daily high near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C. This reflects MetService and international model consensus showing mild spring conditions slightly above the long-term September average high of roughly 14°C, with limited potential for stronger warming due to the season's typical wind patterns and lack of blocking highs. Traders appear to view 16°C as plausible only if daytime heating exceeds expectations, while probabilities for 17°C or higher remain negligible given the absence of anomalous warm advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,819結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecasts for Wellington on September 21 place the daily high near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C. This reflects MetService and international model consensus showing mild spring conditions slightly above the long-term September average high of roughly 14°C, with limited potential for stronger warming due to the season's typical wind patterns and lack of blocking highs. Traders appear to view 16°C as plausible only if daytime heating exceeds expectations, while probabilities for 17°C or higher remain negligible given the absence of anomalous warm advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions