Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31–32°C on September 20 under sunny periods with east to northeast winds of force 2–3 and low rain chances, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those levels. A strengthening high-pressure ridge and seasonal northeast monsoon flow are limiting cloud build-up and moisture, while the developing strong El Niño and background warming trend favor temperatures at or above the September climatological mean of roughly 30–31°C. Small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or isolated showers could shift the peak by 1°C either way, keeping 31°C and 32°C nearly equally likely in the latest model guidance ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日香港最高溫度？
9月20日香港最高溫度？
32°C 36%
31°C 32%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
13%
31°C
32%
32°C
36%
33°C
19%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 32%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
26°C或以下
$261 交易量
<1%
27°C
$68 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
9%
30°C
$17 交易量
13%
31°C
$185 交易量
32%
32°C
$368 交易量
36%
33°C
$84 交易量
19%
34°C
$0 交易量
9%
35°C
$0 交易量
3%
36°C或以上
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31–32°C on September 20 under sunny periods with east to northeast winds of force 2–3 and low rain chances, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those levels. A strengthening high-pressure ridge and seasonal northeast monsoon flow are limiting cloud build-up and moisture, while the developing strong El Niño and background warming trend favor temperatures at or above the September climatological mean of roughly 30–31°C. Small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or isolated showers could shift the peak by 1°C either way, keeping 31°C and 32°C nearly equally likely in the latest model guidance ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,095結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31–32°C on September 20 under sunny periods with east to northeast winds of force 2–3 and low rain chances, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those levels. A strengthening high-pressure ridge and seasonal northeast monsoon flow are limiting cloud build-up and moisture, while the developing strong El Niño and background warming trend favor temperatures at or above the September climatological mean of roughly 30–31°C. Small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or isolated showers could shift the peak by 1°C either way, keeping 31°C and 32°C nearly equally likely in the latest model guidance ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,095結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31–32°C on September 20 under sunny periods with east to northeast winds of force 2–3 and low rain chances, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those levels. A strengthening high-pressure ridge and seasonal northeast monsoon flow are limiting cloud build-up and moisture, while the developing strong El Niño and background warming trend favor temperatures at or above the September climatological mean of roughly 30–31°C. Small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or isolated showers could shift the peak by 1°C either way, keeping 31°C and 32°C nearly equally likely in the latest model guidance ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions