**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles indicate a high of 27–30°C in Beijing on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 28–29°C.** Light rain or showers early in the period, transitioning to cloudy skies under southeast-to-east winds under 3 levels, are expected to cap afternoon heating, while surface pressures near 1010–1015 hPa and moderate humidity (60–70%) support this range. Recent model runs show a modest cooling trend from the 29–32°C highs recorded on September 16–17, consistent with seasonal progression into mid-September and the influence of a weak frontal boundary. Uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation, plus typical ensemble spread of 1–2°C, keeps 27°C and 30°C viable secondary outcomes while rendering extremes below 26°C or above 31°C highly improbable given current steering patterns and climatological baselines for the date. Updated CMA and numerical weather prediction guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日北京最高溫度？
9月18日北京最高溫度？
29°C 38%
28°C 27%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
15%
28°C
27%
29°C
38%
30°C
19%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
29°C 38%
28°C 27%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
23°C或以下
$279 交易量
<1%
24°C
$781 交易量
1%
25°C
$415 交易量
2%
26°C
$369 交易量
3%
27°C
$1,033 交易量
15%
28°C
$931 交易量
27%
29°C
$1,125 交易量
38%
30°C
$767 交易量
19%
31°C
$296 交易量
5%
32°C
$308 交易量
1%
33°C或以上
$178 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles indicate a high of 27–30°C in Beijing on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 28–29°C.**
Light rain or showers early in the period, transitioning to cloudy skies under southeast-to-east winds under 3 levels, are expected to cap afternoon heating, while surface pressures near 1010–1015 hPa and moderate humidity (60–70%) support this range. Recent model runs show a modest cooling trend from the 29–32°C highs recorded on September 16–17, consistent with seasonal progression into mid-September and the influence of a weak frontal boundary.
Uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation, plus typical ensemble spread of 1–2°C, keeps 27°C and 30°C viable secondary outcomes while rendering extremes below 26°C or above 31°C highly improbable given current steering patterns and climatological baselines for the date. Updated CMA and numerical weather prediction guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,481結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles indicate a high of 27–30°C in Beijing on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 28–29°C.**
Light rain or showers early in the period, transitioning to cloudy skies under southeast-to-east winds under 3 levels, are expected to cap afternoon heating, while surface pressures near 1010–1015 hPa and moderate humidity (60–70%) support this range. Recent model runs show a modest cooling trend from the 29–32°C highs recorded on September 16–17, consistent with seasonal progression into mid-September and the influence of a weak frontal boundary.
Uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation, plus typical ensemble spread of 1–2°C, keeps 27°C and 30°C viable secondary outcomes while rendering extremes below 26°C or above 31°C highly improbable given current steering patterns and climatological baselines for the date. Updated CMA and numerical weather prediction guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,481結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles indicate a high of 27–30°C in Beijing on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 28–29°C.** Light rain or showers early in the period, transitioning to cloudy skies under southeast-to-east winds under 3 levels, are expected to cap afternoon heating, while surface pressures near 1010–1015 hPa and moderate humidity (60–70%) support this range. Recent model runs show a modest cooling trend from the 29–32°C highs recorded on September 16–17, consistent with seasonal progression into mid-September and the influence of a weak frontal boundary. Uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation, plus typical ensemble spread of 1–2°C, keeps 27°C and 30°C viable secondary outcomes while rendering extremes below 26°C or above 31°C highly improbable given current steering patterns and climatological baselines for the date. Updated CMA and numerical weather prediction guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions