Recent National Weather Service and model consensus from GFS runs positions the highest temperature in Austin on September 20 near 98–100°F under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow around 5 mph, and minimal precipitation chances. This stable late-summer pattern with high pressure and modest moisture supports the market’s heavy weighting on 98–99°F, as afternoon peaks are expected to crest in the upper 90s before any evening cooling. Forecasters note heat index values could reach 104°F despite the dry air mass, but official thermometer readings remain the resolution benchmark. Limited model spread keeps probabilities for 96–97°F or 100–101°F secondary, with updates from the Austin/San Antonio NWS office likely to refine the final call before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月20日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 51%
96-97°F 25%
100-101°F 23%
102-103°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
89華氏度或以下
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
23%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
華氏108度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 51%
96-97°F 25%
100-101°F 23%
102-103°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
89華氏度或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$142 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$15 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$241 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$421 交易量
25%
98-99°F
$203 交易量
51%
100-101°F
$385 交易量
23%
102-103°F
$9 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$99 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$177 交易量
1%
華氏108度或更高
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus from GFS runs positions the highest temperature in Austin on September 20 near 98–100°F under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow around 5 mph, and minimal precipitation chances. This stable late-summer pattern with high pressure and modest moisture supports the market’s heavy weighting on 98–99°F, as afternoon peaks are expected to crest in the upper 90s before any evening cooling. Forecasters note heat index values could reach 104°F despite the dry air mass, but official thermometer readings remain the resolution benchmark. Limited model spread keeps probabilities for 96–97°F or 100–101°F secondary, with updates from the Austin/San Antonio NWS office likely to refine the final call before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,913結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus from GFS runs positions the highest temperature in Austin on September 20 near 98–100°F under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow around 5 mph, and minimal precipitation chances. This stable late-summer pattern with high pressure and modest moisture supports the market’s heavy weighting on 98–99°F, as afternoon peaks are expected to crest in the upper 90s before any evening cooling. Forecasters note heat index values could reach 104°F despite the dry air mass, but official thermometer readings remain the resolution benchmark. Limited model spread keeps probabilities for 96–97°F or 100–101°F secondary, with updates from the Austin/San Antonio NWS office likely to refine the final call before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,913結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model consensus from GFS runs positions the highest temperature in Austin on September 20 near 98–100°F under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow around 5 mph, and minimal precipitation chances. This stable late-summer pattern with high pressure and modest moisture supports the market’s heavy weighting on 98–99°F, as afternoon peaks are expected to crest in the upper 90s before any evening cooling. Forecasters note heat index values could reach 104°F despite the dry air mass, but official thermometer readings remain the resolution benchmark. Limited model spread keeps probabilities for 96–97°F or 100–101°F secondary, with updates from the Austin/San Antonio NWS office likely to refine the final call before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions