Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Karachi’s September 21 maximum reflects close alignment among forecast models projecting mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and peak heating near 36–39°C, with limited cloud cover and humidity around 40–60% supporting strong diurnal rise. Recent observations on September 20 showed afternoon readings near 34–36°C, consistent with the post-monsoon transition and absence of significant moisture influx. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 39°C (32.5% implied probability) and 40°C (30.0%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 37°C or below indicate limited downside risk under current clear conditions. Updated runs from agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department will likely refine the final range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
9月21日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
39°C 33%
40°C 30%
38°C 17%
41°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
34°C或以下
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
5%
38°C
17%
39°C
33%
40°C
30%
41°C
16%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C或更高
<1%
39°C 33%
40°C 30%
38°C 17%
41°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
34°C或以下
$327 交易量
1%
35°C
$302 交易量
2%
36°C
$224 交易量
4%
37°C
$442 交易量
5%
38°C
$81 交易量
17%
39°C
$420 交易量
33%
40°C
$700 交易量
30%
41°C
$655 交易量
16%
42°C
$5 交易量
1%
43°C
$111 交易量
<1%
44°C或更高
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Karachi’s September 21 maximum reflects close alignment among forecast models projecting mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and peak heating near 36–39°C, with limited cloud cover and humidity around 40–60% supporting strong diurnal rise. Recent observations on September 20 showed afternoon readings near 34–36°C, consistent with the post-monsoon transition and absence of significant moisture influx. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 39°C (32.5% implied probability) and 40°C (30.0%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 37°C or below indicate limited downside risk under current clear conditions. Updated runs from agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department will likely refine the final range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$3,379結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Karachi’s September 21 maximum reflects close alignment among forecast models projecting mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and peak heating near 36–39°C, with limited cloud cover and humidity around 40–60% supporting strong diurnal rise. Recent observations on September 20 showed afternoon readings near 34–36°C, consistent with the post-monsoon transition and absence of significant moisture influx. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 39°C (32.5% implied probability) and 40°C (30.0%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 37°C or below indicate limited downside risk under current clear conditions. Updated runs from agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department will likely refine the final range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,379結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETTrader consensus around 38–40°C for Karachi’s September 21 maximum reflects close alignment among forecast models projecting mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and peak heating near 36–39°C, with limited cloud cover and humidity around 40–60% supporting strong diurnal rise. Recent observations on September 20 showed afternoon readings near 34–36°C, consistent with the post-monsoon transition and absence of significant moisture influx. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 39°C (32.5% implied probability) and 40°C (30.0%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 37°C or below indicate limited downside risk under current clear conditions. Updated runs from agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department will likely refine the final range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions