Recent PAGASA outlooks and global models project Manila highs of 30–34°C on September 22 amid the prevailing southwest monsoon, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity (75–95%) expected to cap extremes through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 32–33°C reflects the typical range during the peak rainy season, where brief breaks in convection can allow brief spikes while widespread rain keeps readings near climatological norms of ~31–32°C. Model runs show modest disagreement on timing of showers, sustaining uncertainty around the exact daily maximum and explaining the tight distribution across the 31–34°C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月22日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
33°C 45%
32°C 32%
31°C 14%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
32%
33°C
45%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 32%
31°C 14%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
28°C或以下
$111 交易量
1%
29°C
$64 交易量
<1%
30°C
$734 交易量
6%
31°C
$744 交易量
14%
32°C
$2,160 交易量
32%
33°C
$2,401 交易量
45%
34°C
$370 交易量
9%
35°C
$42 交易量
<1%
36°C
$111 交易量
<1%
37°C
$111 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$1,255 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and global models project Manila highs of 30–34°C on September 22 amid the prevailing southwest monsoon, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity (75–95%) expected to cap extremes through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 32–33°C reflects the typical range during the peak rainy season, where brief breaks in convection can allow brief spikes while widespread rain keeps readings near climatological norms of ~31–32°C. Model runs show modest disagreement on timing of showers, sustaining uncertainty around the exact daily maximum and explaining the tight distribution across the 31–34°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$8,104結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and global models project Manila highs of 30–34°C on September 22 amid the prevailing southwest monsoon, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity (75–95%) expected to cap extremes through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 32–33°C reflects the typical range during the peak rainy season, where brief breaks in convection can allow brief spikes while widespread rain keeps readings near climatological norms of ~31–32°C. Model runs show modest disagreement on timing of showers, sustaining uncertainty around the exact daily maximum and explaining the tight distribution across the 31–34°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,104結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETRecent PAGASA outlooks and global models project Manila highs of 30–34°C on September 22 amid the prevailing southwest monsoon, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity (75–95%) expected to cap extremes through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 32–33°C reflects the typical range during the peak rainy season, where brief breaks in convection can allow brief spikes while widespread rain keeps readings near climatological norms of ~31–32°C. Model runs show modest disagreement on timing of showers, sustaining uncertainty around the exact daily maximum and explaining the tight distribution across the 31–34°C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions