Short-term National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 20 point to a warm late-summer air mass with afternoon highs most likely peaking in the upper 90s, driving the close contest between the 98-99°F and 96-97°F bins. Key differentiating factors include forecast uncertainty around boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and any weak frontal passage that could trim peak temperatures by a degree or two, or conversely allow stronger insolation to push readings toward 100°F. Ensemble spreads from NOAA models remain modest this close to the event, consistent with trader consensus clustering tightly around those two outcomes while assigning only single-digit implied probability to 100°F-plus or sub-96°F results. Updated model runs and official NWS forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the next clear signals for position adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日達拉斯的最高溫度？
9月20日達拉斯的最高溫度？
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 40%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
89°F或以下
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
40%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
華氏108度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 40%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
89°F或以下
$5 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$93 交易量
9%
96-97°F
$319 交易量
40%
98-99°F
$601 交易量
45%
100-101°F
$52 交易量
10%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
2%
106-107°F
$86 交易量
1%
華氏108度或更高
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 20 point to a warm late-summer air mass with afternoon highs most likely peaking in the upper 90s, driving the close contest between the 98-99°F and 96-97°F bins. Key differentiating factors include forecast uncertainty around boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and any weak frontal passage that could trim peak temperatures by a degree or two, or conversely allow stronger insolation to push readings toward 100°F. Ensemble spreads from NOAA models remain modest this close to the event, consistent with trader consensus clustering tightly around those two outcomes while assigning only single-digit implied probability to 100°F-plus or sub-96°F results. Updated model runs and official NWS forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the next clear signals for position adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,267結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 20 point to a warm late-summer air mass with afternoon highs most likely peaking in the upper 90s, driving the close contest between the 98-99°F and 96-97°F bins. Key differentiating factors include forecast uncertainty around boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and any weak frontal passage that could trim peak temperatures by a degree or two, or conversely allow stronger insolation to push readings toward 100°F. Ensemble spreads from NOAA models remain modest this close to the event, consistent with trader consensus clustering tightly around those two outcomes while assigning only single-digit implied probability to 100°F-plus or sub-96°F results. Updated model runs and official NWS forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the next clear signals for position adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,267結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETShort-term National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 20 point to a warm late-summer air mass with afternoon highs most likely peaking in the upper 90s, driving the close contest between the 98-99°F and 96-97°F bins. Key differentiating factors include forecast uncertainty around boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and any weak frontal passage that could trim peak temperatures by a degree or two, or conversely allow stronger insolation to push readings toward 100°F. Ensemble spreads from NOAA models remain modest this close to the event, consistent with trader consensus clustering tightly around those two outcomes while assigning only single-digit implied probability to 100°F-plus or sub-96°F results. Updated model runs and official NWS forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the next clear signals for position adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions