Persistent late-summer heat across central Texas, driven by strong high pressure, clear skies, and ample solar insolation, underpins trader focus on the 96–99°F range for Austin’s official high on September 18. National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project upper-90s readings, with some runs reaching 99°F while others peak near 95–97°F, creating tight implied probabilities between the leading bins. Light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation support efficient daytime warming above the mid-September average of 92°F, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing keep 96–97°F and 98–99°F closely contested. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon observations will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月18日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 48%
96-97°F 41%
100-101°F 7%
102-103°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91華氏度
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
48%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F 或更高
1%
98-99°F 48%
96-97°F 41%
100-101°F 7%
102-103°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
87°F或以下
$174 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$474 交易量
<1%
90-91華氏度
$125 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$86 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$59 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$1,047 交易量
41%
98-99°F
$1,371 交易量
48%
100-101°F
$1,046 交易量
7%
102-103°F
$144 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$241 交易量
<1%
106°F 或更高
$461 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer heat across central Texas, driven by strong high pressure, clear skies, and ample solar insolation, underpins trader focus on the 96–99°F range for Austin’s official high on September 18. National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project upper-90s readings, with some runs reaching 99°F while others peak near 95–97°F, creating tight implied probabilities between the leading bins. Light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation support efficient daytime warming above the mid-September average of 92°F, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing keep 96–97°F and 98–99°F closely contested. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,227結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer heat across central Texas, driven by strong high pressure, clear skies, and ample solar insolation, underpins trader focus on the 96–99°F range for Austin’s official high on September 18. National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project upper-90s readings, with some runs reaching 99°F while others peak near 95–97°F, creating tight implied probabilities between the leading bins. Light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation support efficient daytime warming above the mid-September average of 92°F, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing keep 96–97°F and 98–99°F closely contested. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,227結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETPersistent late-summer heat across central Texas, driven by strong high pressure, clear skies, and ample solar insolation, underpins trader focus on the 96–99°F range for Austin’s official high on September 18. National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project upper-90s readings, with some runs reaching 99°F while others peak near 95–97°F, creating tight implied probabilities between the leading bins. Light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation support efficient daytime warming above the mid-September average of 92°F, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing keep 96–97°F and 98–99°F closely contested. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon observations will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions