Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 17 project a mostly sunny day with a daytime high near 82°F under southwest flow, positioning the 82-83°F bin as the market leader. Milder air advection and limited cloud cover support this outcome, consistent with model consensus showing highs clustered between 80-85°F. Historical September averages around 75-78°F provide context, while minor model spread on afternoon mixing and wind speeds introduces uncertainty that traders weigh when pricing adjacent bins like 80-81°F and 84-85°F. Updated NWS guidance and local observations on the 16th and 17th will refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月17日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月17日的最高溫度？
82-83°F 35%
84-85°F 29%
78-79°F 23%
80-81華氏度 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
華氏71度或以下
7%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
23%
80-81華氏度
21%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
15%
華氏90度或以上
7%
82-83°F 35%
84-85°F 29%
78-79°F 23%
80-81華氏度 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
華氏71度或以下
$0 交易量
7%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
5%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
8%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
23%
80-81華氏度
$14 交易量
21%
82-83°F
$31 交易量
35%
84-85°F
$316 交易量
17%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
5%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
15%
華氏90度或以上
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 17 project a mostly sunny day with a daytime high near 82°F under southwest flow, positioning the 82-83°F bin as the market leader. Milder air advection and limited cloud cover support this outcome, consistent with model consensus showing highs clustered between 80-85°F. Historical September averages around 75-78°F provide context, while minor model spread on afternoon mixing and wind speeds introduces uncertainty that traders weigh when pricing adjacent bins like 80-81°F and 84-85°F. Updated NWS guidance and local observations on the 16th and 17th will refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$362結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 17 project a mostly sunny day with a daytime high near 82°F under southwest flow, positioning the 82-83°F bin as the market leader. Milder air advection and limited cloud cover support this outcome, consistent with model consensus showing highs clustered between 80-85°F. Historical September averages around 75-78°F provide context, while minor model spread on afternoon mixing and wind speeds introduces uncertainty that traders weigh when pricing adjacent bins like 80-81°F and 84-85°F. Updated NWS guidance and local observations on the 16th and 17th will refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$362結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 17 project a mostly sunny day with a daytime high near 82°F under southwest flow, positioning the 82-83°F bin as the market leader. Milder air advection and limited cloud cover support this outcome, consistent with model consensus showing highs clustered between 80-85°F. Historical September averages around 75-78°F provide context, while minor model spread on afternoon mixing and wind speeds introduces uncertainty that traders weigh when pricing adjacent bins like 80-81°F and 84-85°F. Updated NWS guidance and local observations on the 16th and 17th will refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions