Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service point to a high temperature of 70–72°F in New York City on September 15, driven by post-frontal clearing, northerly winds, and high pressure that suppress cloud cover and moisture. This alignment explains the market’s heavy weighting toward the 72–73°F bin at 58.5 percent implied probability, with the 74–75°F outcome at 23 percent reflecting residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing. Historical September climatology shows typical highs near 75°F, but the current cooler air mass has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月15日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月15日的最高溫度？
72-73°F 57%
74-75°F 18%
70-71°F 16%
68-69°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
華氏63度或以下
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
57%
74-75°F
18%
76-77華氏度
6%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
2%
82°F或以上
1%
72-73°F 57%
74-75°F 18%
70-71°F 16%
68-69°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
華氏63度或以下
$10 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$10 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
3%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
8%
70-71°F
$176 交易量
16%
72-73°F
$175 交易量
57%
74-75°F
$601 交易量
18%
76-77華氏度
$0 交易量
6%
78-79°F
$5 交易量
6%
80-81°F
$10 交易量
2%
82°F或以上
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service point to a high temperature of 70–72°F in New York City on September 15, driven by post-frontal clearing, northerly winds, and high pressure that suppress cloud cover and moisture. This alignment explains the market’s heavy weighting toward the 72–73°F bin at 58.5 percent implied probability, with the 74–75°F outcome at 23 percent reflecting residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing. Historical September climatology shows typical highs near 75°F, but the current cooler air mass has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$997結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service point to a high temperature of 70–72°F in New York City on September 15, driven by post-frontal clearing, northerly winds, and high pressure that suppress cloud cover and moisture. This alignment explains the market’s heavy weighting toward the 72–73°F bin at 58.5 percent implied probability, with the 74–75°F outcome at 23 percent reflecting residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing. Historical September climatology shows typical highs near 75°F, but the current cooler air mass has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$997結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETRecent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service point to a high temperature of 70–72°F in New York City on September 15, driven by post-frontal clearing, northerly winds, and high pressure that suppress cloud cover and moisture. This alignment explains the market’s heavy weighting toward the 72–73°F bin at 58.5 percent implied probability, with the 74–75°F outcome at 23 percent reflecting residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing. Historical September climatology shows typical highs near 75°F, but the current cooler air mass has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions