Current observational data and forecast consensus from agencies including the South African Weather Service point to a daily maximum of 18°C in Cape Town on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northwesterly winds shifting southerly, and light rain limiting daytime warming under typical early-spring conditions. Model runs align closely on this outcome, with afternoon readings expected near 17–18°C before cooling overnight. The market-implied odds reflect trader confidence in these measurements meeting the exact resolution threshold. Uncertainties remain around precise official station readings or minor forecast revisions from lingering showers, though significant deviation appears unlikely given the advanced stage of the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦9月15日的最高溫度？
開普敦9月15日的最高溫度？
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$38,472 交易量
$38,472 交易量
2026-09-15
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$38,472 交易量
$38,472 交易量
2026-09-15
12°C或以下
$280 交易量
否
13°C
$1,016 交易量
否
14°C
$121 交易量
否
15°C
$1,070 交易量
否
16°C
$2,476 交易量
否
17°C
$9,282 交易量
否
18°C
$8,165 交易量
是
19°C
$9,679 交易量
否
20°C
$2,513 交易量
否
21°C
$2,215 交易量
否
22°C或以上
$1,655 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and forecast consensus from agencies including the South African Weather Service point to a daily maximum of 18°C in Cape Town on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northwesterly winds shifting southerly, and light rain limiting daytime warming under typical early-spring conditions. Model runs align closely on this outcome, with afternoon readings expected near 17–18°C before cooling overnight. The market-implied odds reflect trader confidence in these measurements meeting the exact resolution threshold. Uncertainties remain around precise official station readings or minor forecast revisions from lingering showers, though significant deviation appears unlikely given the advanced stage of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
交易量
$38,472結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and forecast consensus from agencies including the South African Weather Service point to a daily maximum of 18°C in Cape Town on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northwesterly winds shifting southerly, and light rain limiting daytime warming under typical early-spring conditions. Model runs align closely on this outcome, with afternoon readings expected near 17–18°C before cooling overnight. The market-implied odds reflect trader confidence in these measurements meeting the exact resolution threshold. Uncertainties remain around precise official station readings or minor forecast revisions from lingering showers, though significant deviation appears unlikely given the advanced stage of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,472結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current observational data and forecast consensus from agencies including the South African Weather Service point to a daily maximum of 18°C in Cape Town on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northwesterly winds shifting southerly, and light rain limiting daytime warming under typical early-spring conditions. Model runs align closely on this outcome, with afternoon readings expected near 17–18°C before cooling overnight. The market-implied odds reflect trader confidence in these measurements meeting the exact resolution threshold. Uncertainties remain around precise official station readings or minor forecast revisions from lingering showers, though significant deviation appears unlikely given the advanced stage of the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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