Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 71°F on September 19, 2026, shortly after dawn under clear skies and light southerly flow. This placed the daily low firmly within the 72-73°F bin that commands 97.5% market-implied probability, consistent with the seasonal norm of 66–67°F and the absence of any significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that could have produced further cooling. Forecast models run in the preceding days had converged on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s, reinforcing trader consensus. Resolution could shift only if an alternative official station or quality-controlled dataset ultimately reports a value outside this narrow range, an outcome rendered unlikely by the uniformity of available surface observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月19日奧斯汀最低溫度？
68-69°F 100%
72-73°F 98%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 5%
$265 交易量
$265 交易量
2026-09-19
63°F或以下
3%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
98%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
68-69°F 100%
72-73°F 98%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 5%
$265 交易量
$265 交易量
2026-09-19
63°F或以下
$41 交易量
3%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
18%
68-69°F
$18 交易量
100%
70-71°F
$10 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
98%
74-75°F
$75 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$30 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$45 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
<1%
82°F或更高
$46 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 71°F on September 19, 2026, shortly after dawn under clear skies and light southerly flow. This placed the daily low firmly within the 72-73°F bin that commands 97.5% market-implied probability, consistent with the seasonal norm of 66–67°F and the absence of any significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that could have produced further cooling. Forecast models run in the preceding days had converged on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s, reinforcing trader consensus. Resolution could shift only if an alternative official station or quality-controlled dataset ultimately reports a value outside this narrow range, an outcome rendered unlikely by the uniformity of available surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$265結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 71°F on September 19, 2026, shortly after dawn under clear skies and light southerly flow. This placed the daily low firmly within the 72-73°F bin that commands 97.5% market-implied probability, consistent with the seasonal norm of 66–67°F and the absence of any significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that could have produced further cooling. Forecast models run in the preceding days had converged on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s, reinforcing trader consensus. Resolution could shift only if an alternative official station or quality-controlled dataset ultimately reports a value outside this narrow range, an outcome rendered unlikely by the uniformity of available surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$265結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETOfficial National Weather Service observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 71°F on September 19, 2026, shortly after dawn under clear skies and light southerly flow. This placed the daily low firmly within the 72-73°F bin that commands 97.5% market-implied probability, consistent with the seasonal norm of 66–67°F and the absence of any significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that could have produced further cooling. Forecast models run in the preceding days had converged on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s, reinforcing trader consensus. Resolution could shift only if an alternative official station or quality-controlled dataset ultimately reports a value outside this narrow range, an outcome rendered unlikely by the uniformity of available surface observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions