Recent atmospheric conditions featuring a deeper marine layer and persistent onshore flow tied to a weak cutoff low are suppressing maximum temperatures below seasonal norms in San Francisco. National Weather Service guidance indicates a high near 65°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds, aligning with the market-implied 39.5% consensus on 66-67°F as the likeliest outcome. Subtle variations in marine layer depth, wind strength, and afternoon clearing could shift results into the adjacent 64-65°F or 68-69°F ranges, where traders see meaningful uncertainty. New model runs and NWS updates will provide the next key data points ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月21日的最高溫度？
舊金山9月21日的最高溫度？
66-67°F 40%
68-69°F 27%
64-65°F 24%
70-71°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
61°F或以下
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
40%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80°F或以上
1%
66-67°F 40%
68-69°F 27%
64-65°F 24%
70-71°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
61°F或以下
$10 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$54 交易量
5%
64-65°F
$981 交易量
24%
66-67°F
$546 交易量
40%
68-69°F
$620 交易量
27%
70-71°F
$453 交易量
7%
72-73°F
$62 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$10 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$10 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$123 交易量
1%
80°F或以上
$6 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions featuring a deeper marine layer and persistent onshore flow tied to a weak cutoff low are suppressing maximum temperatures below seasonal norms in San Francisco. National Weather Service guidance indicates a high near 65°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds, aligning with the market-implied 39.5% consensus on 66-67°F as the likeliest outcome. Subtle variations in marine layer depth, wind strength, and afternoon clearing could shift results into the adjacent 64-65°F or 68-69°F ranges, where traders see meaningful uncertainty. New model runs and NWS updates will provide the next key data points ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,875結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions featuring a deeper marine layer and persistent onshore flow tied to a weak cutoff low are suppressing maximum temperatures below seasonal norms in San Francisco. National Weather Service guidance indicates a high near 65°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds, aligning with the market-implied 39.5% consensus on 66-67°F as the likeliest outcome. Subtle variations in marine layer depth, wind strength, and afternoon clearing could shift results into the adjacent 64-65°F or 68-69°F ranges, where traders see meaningful uncertainty. New model runs and NWS updates will provide the next key data points ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,875結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent atmospheric conditions featuring a deeper marine layer and persistent onshore flow tied to a weak cutoff low are suppressing maximum temperatures below seasonal norms in San Francisco. National Weather Service guidance indicates a high near 65°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds, aligning with the market-implied 39.5% consensus on 66-67°F as the likeliest outcome. Subtle variations in marine layer depth, wind strength, and afternoon clearing could shift results into the adjacent 64-65°F or 68-69°F ranges, where traders see meaningful uncertainty. New model runs and NWS updates will provide the next key data points ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions