Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to daytime highs in Manila on September 17 likely reaching the low 30s Celsius amid the ongoing southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover acting as key moderators. Afternoon convection and rainfall, typical for September, tend to limit extreme peaks while still allowing brief periods of stronger insolation to push maxima toward 31–32°C. Historical climatology shows mid-September averages near 31°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C while still pricing meaningful chances for 30–31°C outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering winds and precipitation timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月17日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
32°C 39%
31°C 29%
33°C 20%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
29%
32°C
39%
33°C
20%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 39%
31°C 29%
33°C 20%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
26°C或以下
$363 交易量
1%
27°C
$40 交易量
2%
28°C
$40 交易量
2%
29°C
$272 交易量
4%
30°C
$2,198 交易量
13%
31°C
$897 交易量
29%
32°C
$4,024 交易量
39%
33°C
$1,340 交易量
20%
34°C
$92 交易量
2%
35°C
$0 交易量
2%
36°C或以上
$177 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to daytime highs in Manila on September 17 likely reaching the low 30s Celsius amid the ongoing southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover acting as key moderators. Afternoon convection and rainfall, typical for September, tend to limit extreme peaks while still allowing brief periods of stronger insolation to push maxima toward 31–32°C. Historical climatology shows mid-September averages near 31°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C while still pricing meaningful chances for 30–31°C outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering winds and precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$9,444結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to daytime highs in Manila on September 17 likely reaching the low 30s Celsius amid the ongoing southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover acting as key moderators. Afternoon convection and rainfall, typical for September, tend to limit extreme peaks while still allowing brief periods of stronger insolation to push maxima toward 31–32°C. Historical climatology shows mid-September averages near 31°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C while still pricing meaningful chances for 30–31°C outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering winds and precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,444結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from regional models points to daytime highs in Manila on September 17 likely reaching the low 30s Celsius amid the ongoing southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover acting as key moderators. Afternoon convection and rainfall, typical for September, tend to limit extreme peaks while still allowing brief periods of stronger insolation to push maxima toward 31–32°C. Historical climatology shows mid-September averages near 31°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C while still pricing meaningful chances for 30–31°C outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering winds and precipitation timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions