Persistent subtropical moisture and diurnal convection are capping Miami's peak temperatures near 87–88°F for September 15, with scattered thunderstorms expected to develop by afternoon under easterly flow. High humidity and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, as earlier or more widespread storms could suppress heating into the mid-80s while delayed activity might allow brief spikes toward 90–91°F. Current NOAA and local model guidance show tight clustering around these values, with limited steering influence from distant non-tropical disturbances. Traders weigh historical mid-September baselines near 88–90°F against the cooling effect of frequent precipitation, keeping adjacent bins competitive ahead of updated short-range forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日邁阿密的最高溫度?
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 19%
92-93華氏度 19%
86-87°F 9%
華氏79度或以下
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
45%
92-93華氏度
19%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98華氏度或以上
1%
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 19%
92-93華氏度 19%
86-87°F 9%
華氏79度或以下
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
45%
92-93華氏度
19%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98華氏度或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent subtropical moisture and diurnal convection are capping Miami's peak temperatures near 87–88°F for September 15, with scattered thunderstorms expected to develop by afternoon under easterly flow. High humidity and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, as earlier or more widespread storms could suppress heating into the mid-80s while delayed activity might allow brief spikes toward 90–91°F. Current NOAA and local model guidance show tight clustering around these values, with limited steering influence from distant non-tropical disturbances. Traders weigh historical mid-September baselines near 88–90°F against the cooling effect of frequent precipitation, keeping adjacent bins competitive ahead of updated short-range forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions