Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 2°C or below in Helsinki on September 15 due to a persistent influx of Arctic air and clear nocturnal conditions favoring strong radiative cooling. Official monitoring from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and aligned global forecast models show overnight minima aligning with this threshold, consistent with the historical record low of 1.6°C for the date. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified observational trends and model agreement rather than typical mid-September averages near 9°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by local stations; any unexpected warming from shifting winds or increased cloud cover could alter the final reading before close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
9月15日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
2°C或以下 100.0%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$3,667 交易量
$3,667 交易量
2026-09-15
2°C或以下
是
3°C
否
4°C
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C或以上
否
2°C或以下 100.0%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$3,667 交易量
$3,667 交易量
2026-09-15
2°C或以下
$1,363 交易量
是
3°C
$694 交易量
否
4°C
$316 交易量
否
5°C
$292 交易量
否
6°C
$341 交易量
否
7°C
$214 交易量
否
8°C
$102 交易量
否
9°C
$86 交易量
否
10°C
$86 交易量
否
11°C
$86 交易量
否
12°C或以上
$86 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 2°C or below in Helsinki on September 15 due to a persistent influx of Arctic air and clear nocturnal conditions favoring strong radiative cooling. Official monitoring from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and aligned global forecast models show overnight minima aligning with this threshold, consistent with the historical record low of 1.6°C for the date. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified observational trends and model agreement rather than typical mid-September averages near 9°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by local stations; any unexpected warming from shifting winds or increased cloud cover could alter the final reading before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
交易量
$3,667結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 2°C or below in Helsinki on September 15 due to a persistent influx of Arctic air and clear nocturnal conditions favoring strong radiative cooling. Official monitoring from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and aligned global forecast models show overnight minima aligning with this threshold, consistent with the historical record low of 1.6°C for the date. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified observational trends and model agreement rather than typical mid-September averages near 9°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by local stations; any unexpected warming from shifting winds or increased cloud cover could alter the final reading before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,667結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 2°C or below in Helsinki on September 15 due to a persistent influx of Arctic air and clear nocturnal conditions favoring strong radiative cooling. Official monitoring from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and aligned global forecast models show overnight minima aligning with this threshold, consistent with the historical record low of 1.6°C for the date. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified observational trends and model agreement rather than typical mid-September averages near 9°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by local stations; any unexpected warming from shifting winds or increased cloud cover could alter the final reading before close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions