Recent forecasts from global models indicate a likely daily maximum of 37–38°C in Jeddah on September 18, consistent with the market’s clustered probabilities around those levels and a modest premium on 39°C or higher. Persistent high pressure, light southerly to westerly winds, and elevated humidity from the adjacent Red Sea are limiting overnight cooling and supporting daytime heat retention, while recent observations—including a 41.4°C peak on September 15—underscore the potential for brief spikes if subsidence strengthens. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could determine whether the peak stays below 37°C or reaches the upper bins. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月18日的最高溫度？
吉達9月18日的最高溫度？
37°C 26%
38°C 24%
36°C 22%
35°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
29°C或以下
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
20%
36°C
22%
37°C
26%
38°C
24%
39°C或以上
18%
37°C 26%
38°C 24%
36°C 22%
35°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
29°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C
$0 交易量
3%
33°C
$0 交易量
4%
34°C
$0 交易量
11%
35°C
$0 交易量
20%
36°C
$0 交易量
22%
37°C
$0 交易量
26%
38°C
$0 交易量
24%
39°C或以上
$0 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a likely daily maximum of 37–38°C in Jeddah on September 18, consistent with the market’s clustered probabilities around those levels and a modest premium on 39°C or higher. Persistent high pressure, light southerly to westerly winds, and elevated humidity from the adjacent Red Sea are limiting overnight cooling and supporting daytime heat retention, while recent observations—including a 41.4°C peak on September 15—underscore the potential for brief spikes if subsidence strengthens. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could determine whether the peak stays below 37°C or reaches the upper bins. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a likely daily maximum of 37–38°C in Jeddah on September 18, consistent with the market’s clustered probabilities around those levels and a modest premium on 39°C or higher. Persistent high pressure, light southerly to westerly winds, and elevated humidity from the adjacent Red Sea are limiting overnight cooling and supporting daytime heat retention, while recent observations—including a 41.4°C peak on September 15—underscore the potential for brief spikes if subsidence strengthens. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could determine whether the peak stays below 37°C or reaches the upper bins. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from global models indicate a likely daily maximum of 37–38°C in Jeddah on September 18, consistent with the market’s clustered probabilities around those levels and a modest premium on 39°C or higher. Persistent high pressure, light southerly to westerly winds, and elevated humidity from the adjacent Red Sea are limiting overnight cooling and supporting daytime heat retention, while recent observations—including a 41.4°C peak on September 15—underscore the potential for brief spikes if subsidence strengthens. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could determine whether the peak stays below 37°C or reaches the upper bins. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions