**Persistent autumn rain onset and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds nearly even between a highest temperature of 32°C or above (50.0%) and 22°C or below (49.0%).** Chongqing’s 2026 autumn rain period, expected to begin around September 15 and featuring above-average precipitation, has introduced sustained stratiform rainfall and reduced insolation that limits daytime warming compared with the September climatological mean high near 27–28°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of roughly 20–27°C for September 18 amid 20–90 mm of rain and high humidity, suppressing peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and blocked solar radiation. Resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration; any break in cloud cover or delayed rain could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the distribution, while continued heavy precipitation would favor the cooler outcome. Traders are pricing the inherent short-term forecast uncertainty and day-to-day variability typical of the transition season.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日重慶氣溫最高？
9月18日重慶氣溫最高？
32°C或以上 50%
22°C或以下 26%
25°C 25%
23°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
22°C或以下
26%
23°C
23%
24°C
23%
25°C
25%
26°C
12%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C或以上
50%
32°C或以上 50%
22°C或以下 26%
25°C 25%
23°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
23%
24°C
$0 交易量
23%
25°C
$5 交易量
25%
26°C
$0 交易量
12%
27°C
$0 交易量
7%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C或以上
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent autumn rain onset and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds nearly even between a highest temperature of 32°C or above (50.0%) and 22°C or below (49.0%).** Chongqing’s 2026 autumn rain period, expected to begin around September 15 and featuring above-average precipitation, has introduced sustained stratiform rainfall and reduced insolation that limits daytime warming compared with the September climatological mean high near 27–28°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of roughly 20–27°C for September 18 amid 20–90 mm of rain and high humidity, suppressing peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and blocked solar radiation. Resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration; any break in cloud cover or delayed rain could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the distribution, while continued heavy precipitation would favor the cooler outcome. Traders are pricing the inherent short-term forecast uncertainty and day-to-day variability typical of the transition season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$5結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent autumn rain onset and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds nearly even between a highest temperature of 32°C or above (50.0%) and 22°C or below (49.0%).** Chongqing’s 2026 autumn rain period, expected to begin around September 15 and featuring above-average precipitation, has introduced sustained stratiform rainfall and reduced insolation that limits daytime warming compared with the September climatological mean high near 27–28°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of roughly 20–27°C for September 18 amid 20–90 mm of rain and high humidity, suppressing peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and blocked solar radiation. Resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration; any break in cloud cover or delayed rain could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the distribution, while continued heavy precipitation would favor the cooler outcome. Traders are pricing the inherent short-term forecast uncertainty and day-to-day variability typical of the transition season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Persistent autumn rain onset and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds nearly even between a highest temperature of 32°C or above (50.0%) and 22°C or below (49.0%).** Chongqing’s 2026 autumn rain period, expected to begin around September 15 and featuring above-average precipitation, has introduced sustained stratiform rainfall and reduced insolation that limits daytime warming compared with the September climatological mean high near 27–28°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of roughly 20–27°C for September 18 amid 20–90 mm of rain and high humidity, suppressing peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and blocked solar radiation. Resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration; any break in cloud cover or delayed rain could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the distribution, while continued heavy precipitation would favor the cooler outcome. Traders are pricing the inherent short-term forecast uncertainty and day-to-day variability typical of the transition season.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions