Current forecast models from multiple sources project overnight lows in Chongqing near 19–22°C on September 18 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity associated with an active weather pattern across eastern China. These conditions limit radiational cooling, supporting minimum temperatures close to or slightly below the seasonal average of about 22°C while preventing sharper drops. Recent observations show similar mild overnight readings around 19–21°C under comparable overcast and precipitating setups. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 19–20°C outcomes, reflecting consensus on this stable, moisture-laden regime ahead of any potential model updates from regional meteorological agencies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日重慶氣溫最低?
20°C 55%
15°C或以下 50%
25°C或以上 50%
19°C 39%
15°C或以下
50%
16°C
20%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
37%
20°C
51%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
36%
24°C
37%
25°C或以上
50%
20°C 55%
15°C或以下 50%
25°C或以上 50%
19°C 39%
15°C或以下
50%
16°C
20%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
37%
20°C
51%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
36%
24°C
37%
25°C或以上
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from multiple sources project overnight lows in Chongqing near 19–22°C on September 18 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity associated with an active weather pattern across eastern China. These conditions limit radiational cooling, supporting minimum temperatures close to or slightly below the seasonal average of about 22°C while preventing sharper drops. Recent observations show similar mild overnight readings around 19–21°C under comparable overcast and precipitating setups. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 19–20°C outcomes, reflecting consensus on this stable, moisture-laden regime ahead of any potential model updates from regional meteorological agencies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions