Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 19, with 8°C or below and 18°C or higher both implied near 44%. Primary drivers include diverging model guidance on the timing and strength of a possible cold front versus warmer northerly flow. The Benguela Current typically moderates spring temperatures, while synoptic patterns—such as high-pressure ridging or westerly disturbances—determine whether overnight lows drop below seasonal averages near 10–12°C. Recent observational data and ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to wind shifts and cloud cover. Updated model runs from major centers over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions favor the colder or milder scenario.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦9月19日最低溫度？
開普敦9月19日最低溫度？
8°C或以下 82%
18°C或以上 82%
10°C 40%
9°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
8°C或以下
82%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
20%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
8%
17°C
39%
18°C或以上
82%
8°C或以下 82%
18°C或以上 82%
10°C 40%
9°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
82%
9°C
$0 交易量
39%
10°C
$0 交易量
40%
11°C
$0 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$0 交易量
20%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
8%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C或以上
$0 交易量
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 19, with 8°C or below and 18°C or higher both implied near 44%. Primary drivers include diverging model guidance on the timing and strength of a possible cold front versus warmer northerly flow. The Benguela Current typically moderates spring temperatures, while synoptic patterns—such as high-pressure ridging or westerly disturbances—determine whether overnight lows drop below seasonal averages near 10–12°C. Recent observational data and ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to wind shifts and cloud cover. Updated model runs from major centers over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions favor the colder or milder scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 19, with 8°C or below and 18°C or higher both implied near 44%. Primary drivers include diverging model guidance on the timing and strength of a possible cold front versus warmer northerly flow. The Benguela Current typically moderates spring temperatures, while synoptic patterns—such as high-pressure ridging or westerly disturbances—determine whether overnight lows drop below seasonal averages near 10–12°C. Recent observational data and ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to wind shifts and cloud cover. Updated model runs from major centers over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions favor the colder or milder scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTrader consensus reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 19, with 8°C or below and 18°C or higher both implied near 44%. Primary drivers include diverging model guidance on the timing and strength of a possible cold front versus warmer northerly flow. The Benguela Current typically moderates spring temperatures, while synoptic patterns—such as high-pressure ridging or westerly disturbances—determine whether overnight lows drop below seasonal averages near 10–12°C. Recent observational data and ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to wind shifts and cloud cover. Updated model runs from major centers over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions favor the colder or milder scenario.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions