**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to overnight lows in Shenzhen on September 19, 2026, stabilizing near 24–26°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Models show easterly to southeasterly flow with light winds and limited cloud cover or precipitation overnight, preventing significant radiative cooling or cold-air advection. Daytime highs are expected around 32–33°C, maintaining a warm boundary layer that supports minimum temperatures in this narrow range. No active tropical systems or strong frontal passages are indicated in the short-term guidance, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25°C (47.5%) and 26°C (27.0%). The 21°C-or-below outcome (26.5%) remains plausible only if unexpected nocturnal clearing and drier air allow extra cooling, while warmer outliers reflect residual uncertainty in model spread. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日深圳最低溫度？
9月19日深圳最低溫度？
31°C或以上 66%
25°C 48%
21°C或以下 46%
27°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
21°C或以下
46%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
21%
25°C
48%
26°C
27%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C或以上
66%
31°C或以上 66%
25°C 48%
21°C或以下 46%
27°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
46%
22°C
$0 交易量
38%
23°C
$0 交易量
38%
24°C
$0 交易量
21%
25°C
$49 交易量
48%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
40%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
39%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to overnight lows in Shenzhen on September 19, 2026, stabilizing near 24–26°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions.**
Models show easterly to southeasterly flow with light winds and limited cloud cover or precipitation overnight, preventing significant radiative cooling or cold-air advection. Daytime highs are expected around 32–33°C, maintaining a warm boundary layer that supports minimum temperatures in this narrow range.
No active tropical systems or strong frontal passages are indicated in the short-term guidance, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25°C (47.5%) and 26°C (27.0%). The 21°C-or-below outcome (26.5%) remains plausible only if unexpected nocturnal clearing and drier air allow extra cooling, while warmer outliers reflect residual uncertainty in model spread. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$49結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to overnight lows in Shenzhen on September 19, 2026, stabilizing near 24–26°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions.**
Models show easterly to southeasterly flow with light winds and limited cloud cover or precipitation overnight, preventing significant radiative cooling or cold-air advection. Daytime highs are expected around 32–33°C, maintaining a warm boundary layer that supports minimum temperatures in this narrow range.
No active tropical systems or strong frontal passages are indicated in the short-term guidance, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25°C (47.5%) and 26°C (27.0%). The 21°C-or-below outcome (26.5%) remains plausible only if unexpected nocturnal clearing and drier air allow extra cooling, while warmer outliers reflect residual uncertainty in model spread. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to overnight lows in Shenzhen on September 19, 2026, stabilizing near 24–26°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Models show easterly to southeasterly flow with light winds and limited cloud cover or precipitation overnight, preventing significant radiative cooling or cold-air advection. Daytime highs are expected around 32–33°C, maintaining a warm boundary layer that supports minimum temperatures in this narrow range. No active tropical systems or strong frontal passages are indicated in the short-term guidance, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25°C (47.5%) and 26°C (27.0%). The 21°C-or-below outcome (26.5%) remains plausible only if unexpected nocturnal clearing and drier air allow extra cooling, while warmer outliers reflect residual uncertainty in model spread. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions