**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources projects an overnight low near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 18 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and no significant precipitation.** This aligns with typical late-September subtropical conditions, where historical average lows range from 24–25°C and stable high-pressure influence limits cooling or warming extremes. Current model runs show minimal day-to-day variability, with dew points around 23–24°C supporting gradual overnight temperature decline to the mid-20s Celsius. The 56.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects trader alignment with this narrow forecast band, while lower-probability outcomes for 21°C or below capture residual uncertainty in localized cooling under variable cloud cover. No tropical systems or frontal passages are expected in the immediate 24–48 hour window, keeping resolution criteria tied to official station minima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日深圳最低溫度？
9月18日深圳最低溫度？
25°C 57%
21°C或以下 43%
31°C或更高 43%
22°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
43%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
57%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
8%
29°C
38%
30°C
38%
31°C或更高
43%
25°C 57%
21°C或以下 43%
31°C或更高 43%
22°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
43%
22°C
$0 交易量
38%
23°C
$0 交易量
38%
24°C
$0 交易量
38%
25°C
$128 交易量
57%
26°C
$0 交易量
22%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$0 交易量
8%
29°C
$0 交易量
38%
30°C
$0 交易量
38%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources projects an overnight low near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 18 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and no significant precipitation.**
This aligns with typical late-September subtropical conditions, where historical average lows range from 24–25°C and stable high-pressure influence limits cooling or warming extremes. Current model runs show minimal day-to-day variability, with dew points around 23–24°C supporting gradual overnight temperature decline to the mid-20s Celsius. The 56.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects trader alignment with this narrow forecast band, while lower-probability outcomes for 21°C or below capture residual uncertainty in localized cooling under variable cloud cover. No tropical systems or frontal passages are expected in the immediate 24–48 hour window, keeping resolution criteria tied to official station minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$128結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources projects an overnight low near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 18 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and no significant precipitation.**
This aligns with typical late-September subtropical conditions, where historical average lows range from 24–25°C and stable high-pressure influence limits cooling or warming extremes. Current model runs show minimal day-to-day variability, with dew points around 23–24°C supporting gradual overnight temperature decline to the mid-20s Celsius. The 56.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects trader alignment with this narrow forecast band, while lower-probability outcomes for 21°C or below capture residual uncertainty in localized cooling under variable cloud cover. No tropical systems or frontal passages are expected in the immediate 24–48 hour window, keeping resolution criteria tied to official station minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$128結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources projects an overnight low near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 18 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and no significant precipitation.** This aligns with typical late-September subtropical conditions, where historical average lows range from 24–25°C and stable high-pressure influence limits cooling or warming extremes. Current model runs show minimal day-to-day variability, with dew points around 23–24°C supporting gradual overnight temperature decline to the mid-20s Celsius. The 56.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects trader alignment with this narrow forecast band, while lower-probability outcomes for 21°C or below capture residual uncertainty in localized cooling under variable cloud cover. No tropical systems or frontal passages are expected in the immediate 24–48 hour window, keeping resolution criteria tied to official station minima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions