Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate Moscow's daytime high on September 17 will reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 6–11 m/s, and stable high pressure near 745–747 mm Hg. Current observations and afternoon readings near 22°C align with this range, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions slightly above the long-term September maximum of roughly 17–19°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 22°C as the official peak, with modest probability on 23°C if localized warming or measurement timing pushes the daily maximum higher; lower outcomes remain negligible given the absence of significant cooling fronts or cloud cover. Updated station data and final Gidromet verification will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日莫斯科最高溫度?
22°C 96.4%
23°C 3.5%
24°C <1%
15°C或以下 <1%
$34,999 交易量
$34,999 交易量
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
96%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
22°C 96.4%
23°C 3.5%
24°C <1%
15°C或以下 <1%
$34,999 交易量
$34,999 交易量
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
96%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate Moscow's daytime high on September 17 will reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 6–11 m/s, and stable high pressure near 745–747 mm Hg. Current observations and afternoon readings near 22°C align with this range, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions slightly above the long-term September maximum of roughly 17–19°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 22°C as the official peak, with modest probability on 23°C if localized warming or measurement timing pushes the daily maximum higher; lower outcomes remain negligible given the absence of significant cooling fronts or cloud cover. Updated station data and final Gidromet verification will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions