**Official meteorological observations from São Paulo on September 19, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus.** Cloud cover and a marine breeze limited afternoon heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with hourly readings peaking near this threshold according to sources like ClimaTempo and INMET-aligned data. This outcome fits within September climatology, where average highs hover around 23–25°C, though recent wetter-than-normal conditions (including record early-month rainfall) may have influenced boundary-layer moisture and suppressed further warming. Traders' strong positioning reflects verified station measurements rather than forecasts. Alternative resolutions would require either a revised official high from primary monitoring networks or a different temperature threshold definition, both of which appear unlikely given the consistency of post-event reports.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日聖保羅的最高溫度？
9月19日聖保羅的最高溫度？
27°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$22,297 交易量
$22,297 交易量
2026-09-19
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$22,297 交易量
$22,297 交易量
2026-09-19
20°C或以下
$1,512 交易量
否
21°C
$1,756 交易量
否
22°C
$494 交易量
否
23°C
$377 交易量
否
24°C
$1,218 交易量
否
25°C
$1,378 交易量
否
26°C
$2,311 交易量
否
27°C
$7,315 交易量
是
28°C
$3,103 交易量
否
29°C
$1,680 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$1,154 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations from São Paulo on September 19, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus.**
Cloud cover and a marine breeze limited afternoon heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with hourly readings peaking near this threshold according to sources like ClimaTempo and INMET-aligned data. This outcome fits within September climatology, where average highs hover around 23–25°C, though recent wetter-than-normal conditions (including record early-month rainfall) may have influenced boundary-layer moisture and suppressed further warming. Traders' strong positioning reflects verified station measurements rather than forecasts.
Alternative resolutions would require either a revised official high from primary monitoring networks or a different temperature threshold definition, both of which appear unlikely given the consistency of post-event reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$22,297結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations from São Paulo on September 19, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus.**
Cloud cover and a marine breeze limited afternoon heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with hourly readings peaking near this threshold according to sources like ClimaTempo and INMET-aligned data. This outcome fits within September climatology, where average highs hover around 23–25°C, though recent wetter-than-normal conditions (including record early-month rainfall) may have influenced boundary-layer moisture and suppressed further warming. Traders' strong positioning reflects verified station measurements rather than forecasts.
Alternative resolutions would require either a revised official high from primary monitoring networks or a different temperature threshold definition, both of which appear unlikely given the consistency of post-event reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,297結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official meteorological observations from São Paulo on September 19, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus.** Cloud cover and a marine breeze limited afternoon heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with hourly readings peaking near this threshold according to sources like ClimaTempo and INMET-aligned data. This outcome fits within September climatology, where average highs hover around 23–25°C, though recent wetter-than-normal conditions (including record early-month rainfall) may have influenced boundary-layer moisture and suppressed further warming. Traders' strong positioning reflects verified station measurements rather than forecasts. Alternative resolutions would require either a revised official high from primary monitoring networks or a different temperature threshold definition, both of which appear unlikely given the consistency of post-event reports.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions