Current numerical weather prediction models, including recent GFS and ensemble runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 24–25°C in Buenos Aires on September 19 under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies that favor daytime heating. This setup aligns with springtime warming in the region and exceeds the mid-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C, with minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure supporting the outcome. Traders have priced 25°C as the clear favorite at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on these conditions while assigning lower weight to cooler scenarios. The final observed high, measured at official stations, will resolve the market following the next model updates and observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
9月19日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
25°C 42%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
26%
25°C
42%
26°C
20%
27°C
5%
28°C或以上
5%
25°C 42%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
18°C或以下
$31 交易量
<1%
19°C
$31 交易量
<1%
20°C
$31 交易量
<1%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$165 交易量
3%
23°C
$221 交易量
7%
24°C
$588 交易量
26%
25°C
$137 交易量
42%
26°C
$106 交易量
20%
27°C
$188 交易量
5%
28°C或以上
$8 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including recent GFS and ensemble runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 24–25°C in Buenos Aires on September 19 under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies that favor daytime heating. This setup aligns with springtime warming in the region and exceeds the mid-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C, with minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure supporting the outcome. Traders have priced 25°C as the clear favorite at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on these conditions while assigning lower weight to cooler scenarios. The final observed high, measured at official stations, will resolve the market following the next model updates and observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,505結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including recent GFS and ensemble runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 24–25°C in Buenos Aires on September 19 under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies that favor daytime heating. This setup aligns with springtime warming in the region and exceeds the mid-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C, with minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure supporting the outcome. Traders have priced 25°C as the clear favorite at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on these conditions while assigning lower weight to cooler scenarios. The final observed high, measured at official stations, will resolve the market following the next model updates and observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,505結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:55 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models, including recent GFS and ensemble runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 24–25°C in Buenos Aires on September 19 under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies that favor daytime heating. This setup aligns with springtime warming in the region and exceeds the mid-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C, with minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure supporting the outcome. Traders have priced 25°C as the clear favorite at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on these conditions while assigning lower weight to cooler scenarios. The final observed high, measured at official stations, will resolve the market following the next model updates and observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions