Current forecast consensus from GFS and regional models points to a daytime high near 20°C in Moscow on September 20, driven by southwesterly advection of mild maritime air under weak pressure gradients and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating. This aligns with the market's concentration around 18–22°C outcomes, as traders weigh consistent model runs showing afternoon peaks of 19–21°C against typical September climatology of roughly 17°C. Low precipitation probabilities and light winds reduce cooling risks, while ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event. Updated model guidance and official Russian meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日莫斯科最高溫度？
9月20日莫斯科最高溫度？
21°C 22%
18°C 21%
22°C 20%
19°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
12%
18°C
21%
19°C
16%
20°C
36%
21°C
22%
22°C
20%
23°C
4%
24°C或以上
7%
21°C 22%
18°C 21%
22°C 20%
19°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
14°C或以下
$207 交易量
<1%
15°C
$111 交易量
<1%
16°C
$163 交易量
2%
17°C
$2 交易量
12%
18°C
$0 交易量
21%
19°C
$22 交易量
16%
20°C
$135 交易量
36%
21°C
$29 交易量
22%
22°C
$0 交易量
20%
23°C
$0 交易量
4%
24°C或以上
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from GFS and regional models points to a daytime high near 20°C in Moscow on September 20, driven by southwesterly advection of mild maritime air under weak pressure gradients and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating. This aligns with the market's concentration around 18–22°C outcomes, as traders weigh consistent model runs showing afternoon peaks of 19–21°C against typical September climatology of roughly 17°C. Low precipitation probabilities and light winds reduce cooling risks, while ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event. Updated model guidance and official Russian meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$669結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from GFS and regional models points to a daytime high near 20°C in Moscow on September 20, driven by southwesterly advection of mild maritime air under weak pressure gradients and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating. This aligns with the market's concentration around 18–22°C outcomes, as traders weigh consistent model runs showing afternoon peaks of 19–21°C against typical September climatology of roughly 17°C. Low precipitation probabilities and light winds reduce cooling risks, while ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event. Updated model guidance and official Russian meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$669結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from GFS and regional models points to a daytime high near 20°C in Moscow on September 20, driven by southwesterly advection of mild maritime air under weak pressure gradients and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating. This aligns with the market's concentration around 18–22°C outcomes, as traders weigh consistent model runs showing afternoon peaks of 19–21°C against typical September climatology of roughly 17°C. Low precipitation probabilities and light winds reduce cooling risks, while ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event. Updated model guidance and official Russian meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions