Traders see the market for Moscow’s September 20 minimum temperature as finely balanced between 8 °C (55 %) and 5 °C or below (46 %) because model guidance and surface observations show marginal nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies overnight enhance radiative heat loss from the surface, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed limits the drop; official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center place the low near 11–13 °C, yet small shifts in the position of a weak trough or timing of clearing can push readings several degrees lower. Historical September minima average around 7–9 °C, so the tight spread reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data tonight will likely decide which outcome prevails.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日莫斯科最低溫度？
9月20日莫斯科最低溫度？
5°C或以下 100%
7°C 100%
8°C 51%
6°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
5°C或以下
100%
6°C
19%
7°C
100%
8°C
51%
9°C
2%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C或以上
<1%
5°C或以下 100%
7°C 100%
8°C 51%
6°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
5°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
6°C
$0 交易量
19%
7°C
$15 交易量
100%
8°C
$0 交易量
51%
9°C
$3,712 交易量
2%
10°C
$193 交易量
<1%
11°C
$276 交易量
<1%
12°C
$25 交易量
<1%
13°C
$37 交易量
<1%
14°C
$0 交易量
<1%
15°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the market for Moscow’s September 20 minimum temperature as finely balanced between 8 °C (55 %) and 5 °C or below (46 %) because model guidance and surface observations show marginal nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies overnight enhance radiative heat loss from the surface, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed limits the drop; official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center place the low near 11–13 °C, yet small shifts in the position of a weak trough or timing of clearing can push readings several degrees lower. Historical September minima average around 7–9 °C, so the tight spread reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data tonight will likely decide which outcome prevails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$4,258結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the market for Moscow’s September 20 minimum temperature as finely balanced between 8 °C (55 %) and 5 °C or below (46 %) because model guidance and surface observations show marginal nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies overnight enhance radiative heat loss from the surface, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed limits the drop; official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center place the low near 11–13 °C, yet small shifts in the position of a weak trough or timing of clearing can push readings several degrees lower. Historical September minima average around 7–9 °C, so the tight spread reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data tonight will likely decide which outcome prevails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,258結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTraders see the market for Moscow’s September 20 minimum temperature as finely balanced between 8 °C (55 %) and 5 °C or below (46 %) because model guidance and surface observations show marginal nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies overnight enhance radiative heat loss from the surface, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed limits the drop; official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center place the low near 11–13 °C, yet small shifts in the position of a weak trough or timing of clearing can push readings several degrees lower. Historical September minima average around 7–9 °C, so the tight spread reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data tonight will likely decide which outcome prevails.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions