**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and showers are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami, aligning with market-implied odds favoring a minimum temperature of 76-77°F (44%) on September 20, 2026.** Recent National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s, with several forecasts centering on 76-78°F amid scattered thunderstorms, high dew points near 75-77°F, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling. This reflects typical late-September subtropical patterns in South Florida, where elevated moisture from the Atlantic and Gulf prevents sharp temperature drops. Consensus across sources shows no incoming cold front or drier air mass to drive readings into the low 70s or below, supporting the combined 94% probability on 72-79°F outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official briefings that show stable warm advection and high humidity persisting through the night of September 19-20. Key upcoming factors include any revisions in evening forecast updates or observed dew point trends, which could shift probabilities if unexpected clearing allows more cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日邁阿密的最低溫度？
9月20日邁阿密的最低溫度？
76-77°F 45%
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 18%
70-71°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
69華氏度或以下
5%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
45%
78-79華氏度
8%
80-81°F
8%
82-83華氏度
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
1%
76-77°F 45%
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 18%
70-71°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
69華氏度或以下
$0 交易量
5%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
8%
72-73°F
$24 交易量
18%
74-75°F
$251 交易量
32%
76-77°F
$78 交易量
45%
78-79華氏度
$7 交易量
8%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
8%
82-83華氏度
$0 交易量
3%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$175 交易量
1%
88°F或更高
$25 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and showers are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami, aligning with market-implied odds favoring a minimum temperature of 76-77°F (44%) on September 20, 2026.** Recent National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s, with several forecasts centering on 76-78°F amid scattered thunderstorms, high dew points near 75-77°F, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling.
This reflects typical late-September subtropical patterns in South Florida, where elevated moisture from the Atlantic and Gulf prevents sharp temperature drops. Consensus across sources shows no incoming cold front or drier air mass to drive readings into the low 70s or below, supporting the combined 94% probability on 72-79°F outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official briefings that show stable warm advection and high humidity persisting through the night of September 19-20.
Key upcoming factors include any revisions in evening forecast updates or observed dew point trends, which could shift probabilities if unexpected clearing allows more cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$560結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and showers are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami, aligning with market-implied odds favoring a minimum temperature of 76-77°F (44%) on September 20, 2026.** Recent National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s, with several forecasts centering on 76-78°F amid scattered thunderstorms, high dew points near 75-77°F, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling.
This reflects typical late-September subtropical patterns in South Florida, where elevated moisture from the Atlantic and Gulf prevents sharp temperature drops. Consensus across sources shows no incoming cold front or drier air mass to drive readings into the low 70s or below, supporting the combined 94% probability on 72-79°F outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official briefings that show stable warm advection and high humidity persisting through the night of September 19-20.
Key upcoming factors include any revisions in evening forecast updates or observed dew point trends, which could shift probabilities if unexpected clearing allows more cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$560結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and showers are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami, aligning with market-implied odds favoring a minimum temperature of 76-77°F (44%) on September 20, 2026.** Recent National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s, with several forecasts centering on 76-78°F amid scattered thunderstorms, high dew points near 75-77°F, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling. This reflects typical late-September subtropical patterns in South Florida, where elevated moisture from the Atlantic and Gulf prevents sharp temperature drops. Consensus across sources shows no incoming cold front or drier air mass to drive readings into the low 70s or below, supporting the combined 94% probability on 72-79°F outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official briefings that show stable warm advection and high humidity persisting through the night of September 19-20. Key upcoming factors include any revisions in evening forecast updates or observed dew point trends, which could shift probabilities if unexpected clearing allows more cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions