**Forecast models from the GFS and Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daytime high near 21°C in Moscow on September 21, 2026, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air under mostly cloudy skies with minimal daytime precipitation.** Multiple sources project afternoon peaks of 69–70°F (20.6–21.1°C), with hourly data showing a maximum around 21.4°C before cooling in the evening. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 21°C (56.5%) over 20°C or 22°C. Above-normal warmth relative to the September climatological average of roughly 15–17°C reflects the current synoptic pattern, though model consensus leaves room for small adjustments from updated runs or local observations before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日莫斯科的最高溫度？
9月21日莫斯科的最高溫度？
21°C 56%
22°C 25%
20°C 18%
18°C 3%
最新
$11,811 交易量
最新
$11,811 交易量
2026-09-21
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
18%
21°C
56%
22°C
25%
23°C或以上
2%
21°C 56%
22°C 25%
20°C 18%
18°C 3%
最新
$11,811 交易量
最新
$11,811 交易量
2026-09-21
13°C或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
14°C
$111 交易量
<1%
15°C
$538 交易量
<1%
16°C
$589 交易量
<1%
17°C
$438 交易量
2%
18°C
$471 交易量
3%
19°C
$2,646 交易量
3%
20°C
$3,222 交易量
18%
21°C
$2,034 交易量
56%
22°C
$1,621 交易量
25%
23°C或以上
$50 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the GFS and Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daytime high near 21°C in Moscow on September 21, 2026, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air under mostly cloudy skies with minimal daytime precipitation.** Multiple sources project afternoon peaks of 69–70°F (20.6–21.1°C), with hourly data showing a maximum around 21.4°C before cooling in the evening. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 21°C (56.5%) over 20°C or 22°C. Above-normal warmth relative to the September climatological average of roughly 15–17°C reflects the current synoptic pattern, though model consensus leaves room for small adjustments from updated runs or local observations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$11,811結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the GFS and Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daytime high near 21°C in Moscow on September 21, 2026, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air under mostly cloudy skies with minimal daytime precipitation.** Multiple sources project afternoon peaks of 69–70°F (20.6–21.1°C), with hourly data showing a maximum around 21.4°C before cooling in the evening. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 21°C (56.5%) over 20°C or 22°C. Above-normal warmth relative to the September climatological average of roughly 15–17°C reflects the current synoptic pattern, though model consensus leaves room for small adjustments from updated runs or local observations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,811結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast models from the GFS and Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daytime high near 21°C in Moscow on September 21, 2026, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air under mostly cloudy skies with minimal daytime precipitation.** Multiple sources project afternoon peaks of 69–70°F (20.6–21.1°C), with hourly data showing a maximum around 21.4°C before cooling in the evening. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 21°C (56.5%) over 20°C or 22°C. Above-normal warmth relative to the September climatological average of roughly 15–17°C reflects the current synoptic pattern, though model consensus leaves room for small adjustments from updated runs or local observations before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions