Recent forecasts from global models, including GFS runs, point to a peak temperature near 27°C in Busan on September 21 under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 28°C and 29°C. Stable high pressure and low humidity favor modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress the maximum. Minor model spread in afternoon peak timing and local sea-breeze effects creates the modest edge for 28°C implied odds, while historical September averages near 26–27°C provide baseline context. Updated agency observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration will finalize the recorded high for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日釜山的最高溫度?
28°C 54%
29°C 42%
30°C 5%
27°C 3%
$26,851 交易量
$26,851 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
54%
29°C
42%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 54%
29°C 42%
30°C 5%
27°C 3%
$26,851 交易量
$26,851 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
54%
29°C
42%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from global models, including GFS runs, point to a peak temperature near 27°C in Busan on September 21 under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 28°C and 29°C. Stable high pressure and low humidity favor modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress the maximum. Minor model spread in afternoon peak timing and local sea-breeze effects creates the modest edge for 28°C implied odds, while historical September averages near 26–27°C provide baseline context. Updated agency observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration will finalize the recorded high for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions