Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Busan’s overnight low on September 21 will settle near 19–20 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow. Radiative cooling after sunset, combined with dew points in the mid-teens and minimal cloud cover, supports this range, while historical late-September climatology places typical minima around 18–20 °C. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects keeps the exact minimum uncertain between 17 °C and 18 °C, explaining the tight market-implied odds. No frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the cooling trajectory before official minimum readings are recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日是釜山的最低溫度?
13°C或以下 90%
14°C 90%
15°C 90%
16°C 90%
13°C或以下
90%
14°C
90%
15°C
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
13°C或以下 90%
14°C 90%
15°C 90%
16°C 90%
13°C或以下
90%
14°C
90%
15°C
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Busan’s overnight low on September 21 will settle near 19–20 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow. Radiative cooling after sunset, combined with dew points in the mid-teens and minimal cloud cover, supports this range, while historical late-September climatology places typical minima around 18–20 °C. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects keeps the exact minimum uncertain between 17 °C and 18 °C, explaining the tight market-implied odds. No frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the cooling trajectory before official minimum readings are recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions