Recent forecasts for Chongqing show high uncertainty in the September 21 maximum, with official and ensemble model guidance centering on 22–25 °C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90 %, and periods of rain or showers. Persistent overcast conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while any temporary breaks could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the range. The closely matched market-implied odds for 23 °C and 24 °C reflect this tight ensemble spread and the sensitivity of daily highs to small differences in cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of September 20 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日重慶氣溫最高?
24°C 35%
23°C 30%
25°C 19%
22°C 14%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
14%
23°C
30%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C或以上
2%
24°C 35%
23°C 30%
25°C 19%
22°C 14%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
14%
23°C
30%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Chongqing show high uncertainty in the September 21 maximum, with official and ensemble model guidance centering on 22–25 °C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90 %, and periods of rain or showers. Persistent overcast conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while any temporary breaks could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the range. The closely matched market-implied odds for 23 °C and 24 °C reflect this tight ensemble spread and the sensitivity of daily highs to small differences in cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of September 20 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions