Recent numerical weather models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Busan on September 19 most likely near 26°C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and moderating daytime heating after rain on the 18th. Historical September averages hover around 25–26°C, with recent days showing diurnal swings of 10–15°C amid stable pressure. Key variables include exact cloud fraction and wind speed, which could push readings to 27–28°C under clearer skies or limit them below 25°C with thicker marine layer influence; the spread in market-implied odds reflects ongoing model divergence and sensitivity to short-range updates ahead of the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日釜山的最高溫度?
26°C 40%
28°C 34%
27°C 32%
25°C 19%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
19%
26°C
40%
27°C
32%
28°C
34%
29°C
19%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C或以上
1%
26°C 40%
28°C 34%
27°C 32%
25°C 19%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
19%
26°C
40%
27°C
32%
28°C
34%
29°C
19%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Busan on September 19 most likely near 26°C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and moderating daytime heating after rain on the 18th. Historical September averages hover around 25–26°C, with recent days showing diurnal swings of 10–15°C amid stable pressure. Key variables include exact cloud fraction and wind speed, which could push readings to 27–28°C under clearer skies or limit them below 25°C with thicker marine layer influence; the spread in market-implied odds reflects ongoing model divergence and sensitivity to short-range updates ahead of the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions