Current forecast models indicate a highest temperature near 25°C in Chengdu on September 19, driven by widespread cloud cover, light rain or showers, and high humidity that limit solar insolation and daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Multiple sources project highs of 24–26°C under mostly overcast skies with minimal wind, consistent with seasonal transition patterns and historical September averages around 24–25°C. Trader consensus clusters on 24–27°C outcomes because short-range model runs show modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any breaks, with potential for slight warming if clearer conditions develop midday. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日成都最高溫度?
24°C 26%
26°C 26%
28°C 25%
25°C 23%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
19%
24°C
26%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
20%
28°C
25%
29°C
15%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 26%
26°C 26%
28°C 25%
25°C 23%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
19%
24°C
26%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
20%
28°C
25%
29°C
15%
30°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models indicate a highest temperature near 25°C in Chengdu on September 19, driven by widespread cloud cover, light rain or showers, and high humidity that limit solar insolation and daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Multiple sources project highs of 24–26°C under mostly overcast skies with minimal wind, consistent with seasonal transition patterns and historical September averages around 24–25°C. Trader consensus clusters on 24–27°C outcomes because short-range model runs show modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any breaks, with potential for slight warming if clearer conditions develop midday. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions