Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other major models indicate a daily maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 19, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered light rain or showers are expected to limit daytime warming under typical mid-September conditions, where the long-term average high is approximately 19°C. Model differences in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak, with traders weighting recent runs that favor values clustered around the seasonal norm. Updated guidance ahead of the date will further shape resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月19日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 44%
20°C 36%
22°C 15%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
12%
20°C
36%
21°C
44%
22°C
15%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 44%
20°C 36%
22°C 15%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
16°C或以下
$6 交易量
<1%
17°C
$0 交易量
3%
18°C
$0 交易量
7%
19°C
$13 交易量
12%
20°C
$173 交易量
36%
21°C
$166 交易量
44%
22°C
$6 交易量
15%
23°C
$9 交易量
5%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C或更高
$6 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other major models indicate a daily maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 19, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered light rain or showers are expected to limit daytime warming under typical mid-September conditions, where the long-term average high is approximately 19°C. Model differences in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak, with traders weighting recent runs that favor values clustered around the seasonal norm. Updated guidance ahead of the date will further shape resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$379結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other major models indicate a daily maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 19, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered light rain or showers are expected to limit daytime warming under typical mid-September conditions, where the long-term average high is approximately 19°C. Model differences in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak, with traders weighting recent runs that favor values clustered around the seasonal norm. Updated guidance ahead of the date will further shape resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$379結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other major models indicate a daily maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 19, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered light rain or showers are expected to limit daytime warming under typical mid-September conditions, where the long-term average high is approximately 19°C. Model differences in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak, with traders weighting recent runs that favor values clustered around the seasonal norm. Updated guidance ahead of the date will further shape resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions