Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum in Chengdu on September 21 likely between 27–28 °C, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds under 10 km/h, and relative humidity near 60 % during peak heating hours limiting stronger surface warming. Recent observations show overnight lows near 20–22 °C and only isolated light rain chances, consistent with late-September climatology for the Sichuan basin where subtropical high pressure and regional moisture typically cap extremes. Trader consensus splits between the two leading outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing in afternoon model runs can shift the precise peak by 1 °C, while higher or lower resolutions remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and absence of strong frontal systems. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine whether the high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日成都最高溫度？
9月21日成都最高溫度？
27°C 34%
28°C 33%
29°C 16%
26°C 12%
$23,366 交易量
$23,366 交易量
2026-09-21
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
16%
27°C
34%
28°C
33%
29°C
16%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
27°C 34%
28°C 33%
29°C 16%
26°C 12%
$23,366 交易量
$23,366 交易量
2026-09-21
24°C或以下
$1,215 交易量
<1%
25°C
$5,553 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,556 交易量
16%
27°C
$2,027 交易量
34%
28°C
$3,435 交易量
33%
29°C
$3,071 交易量
16%
30°C
$3,302 交易量
2%
31°C
$1,750 交易量
<1%
32°C
$262 交易量
<1%
33°C
$85 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum in Chengdu on September 21 likely between 27–28 °C, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds under 10 km/h, and relative humidity near 60 % during peak heating hours limiting stronger surface warming. Recent observations show overnight lows near 20–22 °C and only isolated light rain chances, consistent with late-September climatology for the Sichuan basin where subtropical high pressure and regional moisture typically cap extremes. Trader consensus splits between the two leading outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing in afternoon model runs can shift the precise peak by 1 °C, while higher or lower resolutions remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and absence of strong frontal systems. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine whether the high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$23,366結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum in Chengdu on September 21 likely between 27–28 °C, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds under 10 km/h, and relative humidity near 60 % during peak heating hours limiting stronger surface warming. Recent observations show overnight lows near 20–22 °C and only isolated light rain chances, consistent with late-September climatology for the Sichuan basin where subtropical high pressure and regional moisture typically cap extremes. Trader consensus splits between the two leading outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing in afternoon model runs can shift the precise peak by 1 °C, while higher or lower resolutions remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and absence of strong frontal systems. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine whether the high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,366結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum in Chengdu on September 21 likely between 27–28 °C, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds under 10 km/h, and relative humidity near 60 % during peak heating hours limiting stronger surface warming. Recent observations show overnight lows near 20–22 °C and only isolated light rain chances, consistent with late-September climatology for the Sichuan basin where subtropical high pressure and regional moisture typically cap extremes. Trader consensus splits between the two leading outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing in afternoon model runs can shift the precise peak by 1 °C, while higher or lower resolutions remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and absence of strong frontal systems. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine whether the high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions