Recent model consensus from global ensembles points to a peak daytime temperature in Qingdao of 27–29 °C on September 21, driven by building high pressure, reduced cloud cover after morning overcast, and light southerly flow that limits marine cooling from the Yellow Sea. Clear to partly cloudy skies will permit strong solar insolation during peak heating hours, while modest northerly winds early in the period give way to weaker southerlies that allow boundary-layer warming without excessive mixing. Small forecast spreads among runs arise from differences in predicted cloud timing and sea-breeze strength, which can shift the maximum by 1–2 °C; traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the central 27–29 °C outcomes while discounting extremes given the absence of fronts or significant moisture advection. Updated model guidance later today will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日青島氣溫最高？
9月21日青島氣溫最高？
28°C 33%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
21%
28°C
33%
29°C
24%
30°C
13%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
28°C 33%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
25°C或以下
$40 交易量
1%
26°C
$749 交易量
5%
27°C
$3,647 交易量
21%
28°C
$1,716 交易量
33%
29°C
$1,542 交易量
24%
30°C
$643 交易量
13%
31°C
$287 交易量
6%
32°C
$243 交易量
2%
33°C
$196 交易量
1%
34°C
$31 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global ensembles points to a peak daytime temperature in Qingdao of 27–29 °C on September 21, driven by building high pressure, reduced cloud cover after morning overcast, and light southerly flow that limits marine cooling from the Yellow Sea. Clear to partly cloudy skies will permit strong solar insolation during peak heating hours, while modest northerly winds early in the period give way to weaker southerlies that allow boundary-layer warming without excessive mixing. Small forecast spreads among runs arise from differences in predicted cloud timing and sea-breeze strength, which can shift the maximum by 1–2 °C; traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the central 27–29 °C outcomes while discounting extremes given the absence of fronts or significant moisture advection. Updated model guidance later today will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$9,130結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global ensembles points to a peak daytime temperature in Qingdao of 27–29 °C on September 21, driven by building high pressure, reduced cloud cover after morning overcast, and light southerly flow that limits marine cooling from the Yellow Sea. Clear to partly cloudy skies will permit strong solar insolation during peak heating hours, while modest northerly winds early in the period give way to weaker southerlies that allow boundary-layer warming without excessive mixing. Small forecast spreads among runs arise from differences in predicted cloud timing and sea-breeze strength, which can shift the maximum by 1–2 °C; traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the central 27–29 °C outcomes while discounting extremes given the absence of fronts or significant moisture advection. Updated model guidance later today will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,130結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETRecent model consensus from global ensembles points to a peak daytime temperature in Qingdao of 27–29 °C on September 21, driven by building high pressure, reduced cloud cover after morning overcast, and light southerly flow that limits marine cooling from the Yellow Sea. Clear to partly cloudy skies will permit strong solar insolation during peak heating hours, while modest northerly winds early in the period give way to weaker southerlies that allow boundary-layer warming without excessive mixing. Small forecast spreads among runs arise from differences in predicted cloud timing and sea-breeze strength, which can shift the maximum by 1–2 °C; traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the central 27–29 °C outcomes while discounting extremes given the absence of fronts or significant moisture advection. Updated model guidance later today will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions