**Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a highest temperature of 25–27°C in Qingdao on September 23 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 3–4 levels and minimal precipitation risk early in the day.** These conditions align with the seasonal transition in the Yellow Sea region, where September averages near 26°C and steering patterns favor moderate maritime influence rather than strong warming. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential ahead of a possible rain increase on the 24th. Trader positioning favoring 30°C (53.5% implied) or 31°C+ (25%) likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs or station-specific measurement variability, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from cloud cover and cooling advection. New CMA updates and local observations in the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日青島氣溫最高？
9月23日青島氣溫最高？
30°C 54%
31°C或以上 25%
29°C 19%
28°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
19%
30°C
54%
31°C或以上
25%
30°C 54%
31°C或以上 25%
29°C 19%
28°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
21°C或以下
$134 交易量
<1%
22°C
$40 交易量
<1%
23°C
$20 交易量
<1%
24°C
$5 交易量
2%
25°C
$10 交易量
2%
26°C
$10 交易量
2%
27°C
$34 交易量
4%
28°C
$109 交易量
5%
29°C
$69 交易量
19%
30°C
$234 交易量
54%
31°C或以上
$41 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a highest temperature of 25–27°C in Qingdao on September 23 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 3–4 levels and minimal precipitation risk early in the day.**
These conditions align with the seasonal transition in the Yellow Sea region, where September averages near 26°C and steering patterns favor moderate maritime influence rather than strong warming. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential ahead of a possible rain increase on the 24th. Trader positioning favoring 30°C (53.5% implied) or 31°C+ (25%) likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs or station-specific measurement variability, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from cloud cover and cooling advection. New CMA updates and local observations in the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$706結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a highest temperature of 25–27°C in Qingdao on September 23 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 3–4 levels and minimal precipitation risk early in the day.**
These conditions align with the seasonal transition in the Yellow Sea region, where September averages near 26°C and steering patterns favor moderate maritime influence rather than strong warming. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential ahead of a possible rain increase on the 24th. Trader positioning favoring 30°C (53.5% implied) or 31°C+ (25%) likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs or station-specific measurement variability, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from cloud cover and cooling advection. New CMA updates and local observations in the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$706結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a highest temperature of 25–27°C in Qingdao on September 23 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 3–4 levels and minimal precipitation risk early in the day.** These conditions align with the seasonal transition in the Yellow Sea region, where September averages near 26°C and steering patterns favor moderate maritime influence rather than strong warming. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential ahead of a possible rain increase on the 24th. Trader positioning favoring 30°C (53.5% implied) or 31°C+ (25%) likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs or station-specific measurement variability, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from cloud cover and cooling advection. New CMA updates and local observations in the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions