Current forecasts from regional meteorological models project a daily maximum temperature in Taipei near 31°C on September 21, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, northeasterly winds of 5–10 mph, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September, where diurnal heating peaks in the afternoon without significant moisture influx or frontal systems to moderate temperatures. Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C, reflecting trader consensus on the latest model runs showing highs between 29–31°C, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above account for minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects. Updated observations through midday confirm readings approaching but not exceeding this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日臺北氣溫最高？
9月21日臺北氣溫最高？
31°C 75%
32°C 30%
33°C 5%
34°C <1%
最新
$21,596 交易量
最新
$21,596 交易量
2026-09-21
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
66%
32°C
30%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
31°C 75%
32°C 30%
33°C 5%
34°C <1%
最新
$21,596 交易量
最新
$21,596 交易量
2026-09-21
26°C或以下
$190 交易量
<1%
27°C
$171 交易量
<1%
28°C
$129 交易量
<1%
29°C
$205 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,516 交易量
<1%
31°C
$3,740 交易量
66%
32°C
$2,734 交易量
30%
33°C
$4,349 交易量
5%
34°C
$3,419 交易量
1%
35°C
$1,530 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$1,613 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models project a daily maximum temperature in Taipei near 31°C on September 21, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, northeasterly winds of 5–10 mph, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September, where diurnal heating peaks in the afternoon without significant moisture influx or frontal systems to moderate temperatures. Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C, reflecting trader consensus on the latest model runs showing highs between 29–31°C, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above account for minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects. Updated observations through midday confirm readings approaching but not exceeding this threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$21,596結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models project a daily maximum temperature in Taipei near 31°C on September 21, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, northeasterly winds of 5–10 mph, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September, where diurnal heating peaks in the afternoon without significant moisture influx or frontal systems to moderate temperatures. Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C, reflecting trader consensus on the latest model runs showing highs between 29–31°C, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above account for minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects. Updated observations through midday confirm readings approaching but not exceeding this threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,596結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecasts from regional meteorological models project a daily maximum temperature in Taipei near 31°C on September 21, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, northeasterly winds of 5–10 mph, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September, where diurnal heating peaks in the afternoon without significant moisture influx or frontal systems to moderate temperatures. Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C, reflecting trader consensus on the latest model runs showing highs between 29–31°C, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above account for minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects. Updated observations through midday confirm readings approaching but not exceeding this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions