Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate northeasterly winds will maintain mild conditions through September 19, with northern highs projected at 29–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This aligns with the market's closely matched odds around 29–35°C, as subtle differences in model runs—such as exact cloud timing, wind strength, or brief clearing—can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. High humidity and urban heat effects in Taipei amplify perceived warmth, while the distant tropical depression poses minimal steering influence. Updated model consensus and any new CWA briefings could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日臺北氣溫最高?
35°C 39%
32°C 32%
33°C 32%
30°C 21%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
18%
30°C
21%
31°C
21%
32°C
32%
33°C
32%
34°C
21%
35°C
39%
36°C或以上
<1%
35°C 39%
32°C 32%
33°C 32%
30°C 21%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
18%
30°C
21%
31°C
21%
32°C
32%
33°C
32%
34°C
21%
35°C
39%
36°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate northeasterly winds will maintain mild conditions through September 19, with northern highs projected at 29–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This aligns with the market's closely matched odds around 29–35°C, as subtle differences in model runs—such as exact cloud timing, wind strength, or brief clearing—can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. High humidity and urban heat effects in Taipei amplify perceived warmth, while the distant tropical depression poses minimal steering influence. Updated model consensus and any new CWA briefings could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions