Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and national services indicate a high of 25–27°C for Milan on September 19 under building high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies following recent showers. This consensus, with limited model spread and minimal precipitation expected, positions 26°C as the leading outcome at 43.5% implied probability. Daytime radiative heating under stable conditions and seasonal September baselines support these values, though minor variations in cloud cover or timing could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this temperature market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日米蘭的最高溫度?
26°C 44%
27°C 40%
25°C 36%
28°C 29%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
31%
26°C
44%
27°C
40%
28°C
29%
29°C或以上
7%
26°C 44%
27°C 40%
25°C 36%
28°C 29%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
31%
26°C
44%
27°C
40%
28°C
29%
29°C或以上
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and national services indicate a high of 25–27°C for Milan on September 19 under building high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies following recent showers. This consensus, with limited model spread and minimal precipitation expected, positions 26°C as the leading outcome at 43.5% implied probability. Daytime radiative heating under stable conditions and seasonal September baselines support these values, though minor variations in cloud cover or timing could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this temperature market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions