Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources indicate persistent light rain, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing, which are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 20–22°C for September 17. These conditions align with the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered around 19–22°C, while the elevated probability for 25°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in model runs regarding any brief clearing that could allow slightly warmer readings. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical lows near 22°C, providing context for trader positioning ahead of final observational data from local stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日重慶氣溫最低?
25°C或以上 84%
19°C 44%
15°C或以下 43%
21°C 40%
15°C或以下
43%
16°C
39%
17°C
21%
18°C
12%
19°C
25%
20°C
23%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
14%
25°C或以上
84%
25°C或以上 84%
19°C 44%
15°C或以下 43%
21°C 40%
15°C或以下
43%
16°C
39%
17°C
21%
18°C
12%
19°C
25%
20°C
23%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
14%
25°C或以上
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources indicate persistent light rain, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing, which are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 20–22°C for September 17. These conditions align with the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered around 19–22°C, while the elevated probability for 25°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in model runs regarding any brief clearing that could allow slightly warmer readings. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical lows near 22°C, providing context for trader positioning ahead of final observational data from local stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions