Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 25–26°C in Munich today, driven by mild southerly flow and partial cloud cover. Scattered thunderstorms and showers expected in the afternoon reduce solar heating and cap the diurnal peak, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 25–26°C outcomes. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where convective activity and higher humidity moderate highs relative to clearer days, though exact timing of precipitation remains the key variable. Official observations from the German Weather Service will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日慕尼黑最高溫度?
26°C 38%
25°C 30%
27°C 15%
24°C 11%
$41,712 交易量
$41,712 交易量
23°C或以下
8%
24°C
11%
25°C
30%
26°C
38%
27°C
15%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
26°C 38%
25°C 30%
27°C 15%
24°C 11%
$41,712 交易量
$41,712 交易量
23°C或以下
8%
24°C
11%
25°C
30%
26°C
38%
27°C
15%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 25–26°C in Munich today, driven by mild southerly flow and partial cloud cover. Scattered thunderstorms and showers expected in the afternoon reduce solar heating and cap the diurnal peak, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 25–26°C outcomes. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where convective activity and higher humidity moderate highs relative to clearer days, though exact timing of precipitation remains the key variable. Official observations from the German Weather Service will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions