**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Los Angeles's highest temperature on September 15, 2026, settled decisively on the 80-81°F bin at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matches official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport and downtown sites, where the daily maximum reached approximately 80°F under partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate southeast and southwest winds. The reading sits modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.3°F for the date, reflecting typical late-summer marine layer moderation rather than extreme heat. No significant atmospheric drivers such as offshore winds or strong high pressure pushed temperatures higher, keeping values within the narrow 80-81°F range. Market resolution criteria focus on verified maximum observations, and the near-certain pricing leaves little room for revision unless post-event data audits reveal an unexpected station discrepancy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日洛杉磯的最高溫度？
9月15日洛杉磯的最高溫度？
80-81°F 100.0%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$65,630 交易量
$65,630 交易量
2026-09-15
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83華氏度
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$65,630 交易量
$65,630 交易量
2026-09-15
67°F或以下
$388 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$165 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$2,183 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$2,640 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$7,671 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$19,101 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$13,949 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$11,207 交易量
100%
82-83華氏度
$4,820 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$2,424 交易量
<1%
86°F或更高
$1,082 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Los Angeles's highest temperature on September 15, 2026, settled decisively on the 80-81°F bin at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matches official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport and downtown sites, where the daily maximum reached approximately 80°F under partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate southeast and southwest winds. The reading sits modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.3°F for the date, reflecting typical late-summer marine layer moderation rather than extreme heat. No significant atmospheric drivers such as offshore winds or strong high pressure pushed temperatures higher, keeping values within the narrow 80-81°F range. Market resolution criteria focus on verified maximum observations, and the near-certain pricing leaves little room for revision unless post-event data audits reveal an unexpected station discrepancy.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$65,630結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Los Angeles's highest temperature on September 15, 2026, settled decisively on the 80-81°F bin at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matches official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport and downtown sites, where the daily maximum reached approximately 80°F under partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate southeast and southwest winds. The reading sits modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.3°F for the date, reflecting typical late-summer marine layer moderation rather than extreme heat. No significant atmospheric drivers such as offshore winds or strong high pressure pushed temperatures higher, keeping values within the narrow 80-81°F range. Market resolution criteria focus on verified maximum observations, and the near-certain pricing leaves little room for revision unless post-event data audits reveal an unexpected station discrepancy.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$65,630結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Los Angeles's highest temperature on September 15, 2026, settled decisively on the 80-81°F bin at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matches official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport and downtown sites, where the daily maximum reached approximately 80°F under partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate southeast and southwest winds. The reading sits modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.3°F for the date, reflecting typical late-summer marine layer moderation rather than extreme heat. No significant atmospheric drivers such as offshore winds or strong high pressure pushed temperatures higher, keeping values within the narrow 80-81°F range. Market resolution criteria focus on verified maximum observations, and the near-certain pricing leaves little room for revision unless post-event data audits reveal an unexpected station discrepancy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions