Widespread thunderstorm activity and frontal moisture across the southern and central United States are driving trader consensus on the September 16 rain market, with Phoenix and Chicago showing the strongest implied probabilities. National Weather Service forecasts indicate 90–100% chances of heavy afternoon thunderstorms in Phoenix amid southeast flow and deep moisture, while Chicago faces near-certain thunderstorms from an approaching system with high humidity and 99% precipitation odds. Similar patterns affect Albuquerque and parts of the Midwest and South, consistent with climatological late-summer instability. In contrast, drier conditions prevail in the Pacific Northwest and Northeast per current model consensus. No major new data releases are scheduled today, though real-time radar and surface observations from NOAA will determine final resolution based on measurable precipitation thresholds at specific stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日哪裏會下雨?
紐約,NY
3%
洛杉磯,加州
24%
芝加哥,伊利諾州
75%
休士頓,德克薩斯州
25%
德克薩斯州達拉斯
4%
亞利桑那鳳凰城
75%
費城,賓夕法尼亞州
4%
丹佛,科羅拉多州
26%
華盛頓哥倫比亞特區
4%
喬治亞州亞特蘭大
4%
邁阿密,佛羅里達
74%
西雅圖,華盛頓州
4%
馬薩諸塞州波士頓
4%
紐奧良,路易斯安那州
27%
舊金山,加州
7%
$2,469 交易量
紐約,NY
3%
洛杉磯,加州
24%
芝加哥,伊利諾州
75%
休士頓,德克薩斯州
25%
德克薩斯州達拉斯
4%
亞利桑那鳳凰城
75%
費城,賓夕法尼亞州
4%
丹佛,科羅拉多州
26%
華盛頓哥倫比亞特區
4%
喬治亞州亞特蘭大
4%
邁阿密,佛羅里達
74%
西雅圖,華盛頓州
4%
馬薩諸塞州波士頓
4%
紐奧良,路易斯安那州
27%
舊金山,加州
7%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Widespread thunderstorm activity and frontal moisture across the southern and central United States are driving trader consensus on the September 16 rain market, with Phoenix and Chicago showing the strongest implied probabilities. National Weather Service forecasts indicate 90–100% chances of heavy afternoon thunderstorms in Phoenix amid southeast flow and deep moisture, while Chicago faces near-certain thunderstorms from an approaching system with high humidity and 99% precipitation odds. Similar patterns affect Albuquerque and parts of the Midwest and South, consistent with climatological late-summer instability. In contrast, drier conditions prevail in the Pacific Northwest and Northeast per current model consensus. No major new data releases are scheduled today, though real-time radar and surface observations from NOAA will determine final resolution based on measurable precipitation thresholds at specific stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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警惕外部連結哦。
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