Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate a low of around 11°C overnight on September 17 for Toronto, driven by clear skies enabling strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25°C, combined with northerly winds advecting cooler air masses. This positions 11°C or below as the market leader at 47% implied probability, reflecting trader alignment with verified observational baselines and typical early-fall climatology for the region. Milder outcomes around 15–16°C hold secondary support near 28–23.5% amid lingering uncertainty from variable cloud cover or wind speeds that could limit cooling. Updated model consensus and any late-day observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日多倫多氣溫最低？
9月17日多倫多氣溫最低？
11°C或以下 94%
12°C 58%
13°C 30%
14°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
11°C或以下
94%
12°C
58%
13°C
30%
14°C
30%
15°C
30%
16°C
30%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
11°C或以下 94%
12°C 58%
13°C 30%
14°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
11°C或以下
$51 交易量
94%
12°C
$0 交易量
58%
13°C
$10 交易量
30%
14°C
$10 交易量
30%
15°C
$236 交易量
30%
16°C
$34 交易量
30%
17°C
$145 交易量
<1%
18°C
$95 交易量
<1%
19°C
$116 交易量
<1%
20°C
$37 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$42 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate a low of around 11°C overnight on September 17 for Toronto, driven by clear skies enabling strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25°C, combined with northerly winds advecting cooler air masses. This positions 11°C or below as the market leader at 47% implied probability, reflecting trader alignment with verified observational baselines and typical early-fall climatology for the region. Milder outcomes around 15–16°C hold secondary support near 28–23.5% amid lingering uncertainty from variable cloud cover or wind speeds that could limit cooling. Updated model consensus and any late-day observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$777結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate a low of around 11°C overnight on September 17 for Toronto, driven by clear skies enabling strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25°C, combined with northerly winds advecting cooler air masses. This positions 11°C or below as the market leader at 47% implied probability, reflecting trader alignment with verified observational baselines and typical early-fall climatology for the region. Milder outcomes around 15–16°C hold secondary support near 28–23.5% amid lingering uncertainty from variable cloud cover or wind speeds that could limit cooling. Updated model consensus and any late-day observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$777結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate a low of around 11°C overnight on September 17 for Toronto, driven by clear skies enabling strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25°C, combined with northerly winds advecting cooler air masses. This positions 11°C or below as the market leader at 47% implied probability, reflecting trader alignment with verified observational baselines and typical early-fall climatology for the region. Milder outcomes around 15–16°C hold secondary support near 28–23.5% amid lingering uncertainty from variable cloud cover or wind speeds that could limit cooling. Updated model consensus and any late-day observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions