**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 30°C (74% implied probability) or 31°C (23.5%) in Taipei on September 16, reflecting aggregated forecasts from regional models and historical mid-September baselines.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, moderate humidity around 60–75%, and limited precipitation chances that moderate daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global ensembles points to peak readings near 28–30°C, consistent with seasonal norms for the period when subtropical highs and occasional frontal influences typically cap extremes. Model runs show minimal disagreement on intensification, with cloud cover and sea-breeze effects suppressing higher values; probabilities for 32°C or above remain negligible at under 3%. Real-time station observations throughout the day will determine final resolution against these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日臺北氣溫最高？
9月16日臺北氣溫最高？
30°C 81%
31°C 24%
32°C 2%
33°C <1%
最新
$28,235 交易量
最新
$28,235 交易量
2026-09-16
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
75%
31°C
25%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
30°C 81%
31°C 24%
32°C 2%
33°C <1%
最新
$28,235 交易量
最新
$28,235 交易量
2026-09-16
24°C或以下
$256 交易量
<1%
25°C
$694 交易量
<1%
26°C
$356 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,316 交易量
<1%
28°C
$7,494 交易量
<1%
29°C
$7,000 交易量
<1%
30°C
$4,341 交易量
75%
31°C
$2,096 交易量
25%
32°C
$2,008 交易量
2%
33°C
$846 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$1,828 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 30°C (74% implied probability) or 31°C (23.5%) in Taipei on September 16, reflecting aggregated forecasts from regional models and historical mid-September baselines.**
Current conditions feature partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, moderate humidity around 60–75%, and limited precipitation chances that moderate daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global ensembles points to peak readings near 28–30°C, consistent with seasonal norms for the period when subtropical highs and occasional frontal influences typically cap extremes. Model runs show minimal disagreement on intensification, with cloud cover and sea-breeze effects suppressing higher values; probabilities for 32°C or above remain negligible at under 3%. Real-time station observations throughout the day will determine final resolution against these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$28,235結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 30°C (74% implied probability) or 31°C (23.5%) in Taipei on September 16, reflecting aggregated forecasts from regional models and historical mid-September baselines.**
Current conditions feature partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, moderate humidity around 60–75%, and limited precipitation chances that moderate daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global ensembles points to peak readings near 28–30°C, consistent with seasonal norms for the period when subtropical highs and occasional frontal influences typically cap extremes. Model runs show minimal disagreement on intensification, with cloud cover and sea-breeze effects suppressing higher values; probabilities for 32°C or above remain negligible at under 3%. Real-time station observations throughout the day will determine final resolution against these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,235結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 30°C (74% implied probability) or 31°C (23.5%) in Taipei on September 16, reflecting aggregated forecasts from regional models and historical mid-September baselines.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, moderate humidity around 60–75%, and limited precipitation chances that moderate daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global ensembles points to peak readings near 28–30°C, consistent with seasonal norms for the period when subtropical highs and occasional frontal influences typically cap extremes. Model runs show minimal disagreement on intensification, with cloud cover and sea-breeze effects suppressing higher values; probabilities for 32°C or above remain negligible at under 3%. Real-time station observations throughout the day will determine final resolution against these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions