Current forecasts from National Weather Service-aligned models and private meteorological services show Dallas under a strong high-pressure ridge with southerly flow and clear skies on September 15, supporting afternoon highs near 100–101°F amid heat indices exceeding 105°F. This consensus aligns with trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting typical late-summer radiative heating and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Historical data place the September 15 average high near 90°F with an all-time record of 101°F, while the ongoing dry spell—now over 50 consecutive days without measurable rain at DFW—reinforces elevated readings. Updated model runs and any late steering adjustments from the ridge remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日達拉斯的最高溫度？
9月15日達拉斯的最高溫度？
100-101°F 53%
98-99°F 36%
106-107°F 14%
102-103°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
華氏91度或以下
7%
92-93°F
5%
94-95華氏度
3%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
14%
108-109°F
5%
華氏110度或以上
5%
100-101°F 53%
98-99°F 36%
106-107°F 14%
102-103°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
華氏91度或以下
$10 交易量
7%
92-93°F
$10 交易量
5%
94-95華氏度
$5 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
8%
98-99°F
$0 交易量
36%
100-101°F
$188 交易量
53%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
12%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
6%
106-107°F
$10 交易量
14%
108-109°F
$10 交易量
5%
華氏110度或以上
$10 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from National Weather Service-aligned models and private meteorological services show Dallas under a strong high-pressure ridge with southerly flow and clear skies on September 15, supporting afternoon highs near 100–101°F amid heat indices exceeding 105°F. This consensus aligns with trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting typical late-summer radiative heating and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Historical data place the September 15 average high near 90°F with an all-time record of 101°F, while the ongoing dry spell—now over 50 consecutive days without measurable rain at DFW—reinforces elevated readings. Updated model runs and any late steering adjustments from the ridge remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$243結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from National Weather Service-aligned models and private meteorological services show Dallas under a strong high-pressure ridge with southerly flow and clear skies on September 15, supporting afternoon highs near 100–101°F amid heat indices exceeding 105°F. This consensus aligns with trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting typical late-summer radiative heating and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Historical data place the September 15 average high near 90°F with an all-time record of 101°F, while the ongoing dry spell—now over 50 consecutive days without measurable rain at DFW—reinforces elevated readings. Updated model runs and any late steering adjustments from the ridge remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$243結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETCurrent forecasts from National Weather Service-aligned models and private meteorological services show Dallas under a strong high-pressure ridge with southerly flow and clear skies on September 15, supporting afternoon highs near 100–101°F amid heat indices exceeding 105°F. This consensus aligns with trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting typical late-summer radiative heating and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Historical data place the September 15 average high near 90°F with an all-time record of 101°F, while the ongoing dry spell—now over 50 consecutive days without measurable rain at DFW—reinforces elevated readings. Updated model runs and any late steering adjustments from the ridge remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions