**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 81°F on September 15, 2026, during a prolonged heat wave.** Clear skies and light southerly flow limited overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Multiple forecast models and local analyses converged on this range, producing the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 80–81°F bucket. Minor probability mass on adjacent ranges reflects possible station-to-station variability or rounding conventions, while sub-78°F outcomes remain improbable given the verified data. Resolution hinges on the final certified NWS minimum; any post-event quality-control revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are rare for this station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日達拉斯的最低溫度？
9月15日達拉斯的最低溫度？
80-81°F 100.0%
華氏73度或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$1,116 交易量
$1,116 交易量
2026-09-15
華氏73度或以下
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
是
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或以上
否
80-81°F 100.0%
華氏73度或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$1,116 交易量
$1,116 交易量
2026-09-15
華氏73度或以下
$16 交易量
否
74-75°F
$16 交易量
否
76-77°F
$226 交易量
否
78-79°F
$87 交易量
否
80-81°F
$357 交易量
是
82-83°F
$115 交易量
否
84-85°F
$284 交易量
否
86-87°F
$0 交易量
否
88-89°F
$0 交易量
否
90-91°F
$16 交易量
否
92°F或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 81°F on September 15, 2026, during a prolonged heat wave.** Clear skies and light southerly flow limited overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Multiple forecast models and local analyses converged on this range, producing the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 80–81°F bucket. Minor probability mass on adjacent ranges reflects possible station-to-station variability or rounding conventions, while sub-78°F outcomes remain improbable given the verified data. Resolution hinges on the final certified NWS minimum; any post-event quality-control revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are rare for this station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,116結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 81°F on September 15, 2026, during a prolonged heat wave.** Clear skies and light southerly flow limited overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Multiple forecast models and local analyses converged on this range, producing the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 80–81°F bucket. Minor probability mass on adjacent ranges reflects possible station-to-station variability or rounding conventions, while sub-78°F outcomes remain improbable given the verified data. Resolution hinges on the final certified NWS minimum; any post-event quality-control revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are rare for this station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,116結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 81°F on September 15, 2026, during a prolonged heat wave.** Clear skies and light southerly flow limited overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Multiple forecast models and local analyses converged on this range, producing the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 80–81°F bucket. Minor probability mass on adjacent ranges reflects possible station-to-station variability or rounding conventions, while sub-78°F outcomes remain improbable given the verified data. Resolution hinges on the final certified NWS minimum; any post-event quality-control revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are rare for this station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions